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EUR/USD hovers around 1.0860 ahead of Fed's Powell speech

  • EUR/USD hovers around 1.0860 amid the firmer USD in Friday’s early Asian session. 
  • The US S&P Global Composite PMI came in at 52.2 in March vs. 52.5 prior.
  • The Eurozone HCOB Manufacturing PMI arrived at 45.7 in March vs. 46.5 prior, a three-month low.

The EUR/USD pair retreats to the 1.0860 area during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The downtick of the major pair is backed by the firmer US Dollar (USD) and higher US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the German IFO Business Climate on Friday ahead of the Fed's Chair Powell. 

The US Fed decided to keep its benchmark overnight borrowing rate in a range between 5.25% and 5.5% on Wednesday. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell did not indicate the timing of rate cuts but he expected to lower the interest rate before the end of this year. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, futures markets have prices in 80% odds that the Fed will start cutting the rate in the June meeting.

About the data, the US S&P Global Composite PMI arrived at 52.2 in March versus 52.5 prior. Additionally, the Manufacturing PMI rose to 52.5 in March from 52.2 in February, above the market expectation of 51.7. The Services PMI dropped to 51.7 in March from the previous reading of 52.3, weaker than the estimation of 52.0.

On the other hand, the HCOB's latest Purchasing Managers Index survey on Thursday revealed that the Eurozone Manufacturing PMI arrived at 45.7 in March versus 46.5 prior, worse than the consensus forecast of 47.0. Meanwhile, the Services PMI figure improved to 51.1 in March from 50.2 in February, beating the estimate of 50.5. The Eurozone PMI Composite rose to 49.9 in March versus 49.7 expected and February’s 46.3 reading. 

Moving on, traders will monitor the German IFO Business Climate, along with the Fed's Chair Powell and Barr speeches on Friday. Next week, German Retail Sales for February and the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter (Q4) will be released. These events could give a clear direction to the EUR/USD pair

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0862
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.086
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0879
Daily SMA501.0846
Daily SMA1001.087
Daily SMA2001.0839
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0942
Previous Daily Low1.0856
Previous Weekly High1.0964
Previous Weekly Low1.0873
Previous Monthly High1.0898
Previous Monthly Low1.0695
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0889
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0909
Daily Pivot Point S11.083
Daily Pivot Point S21.0799
Daily Pivot Point S31.0743
Daily Pivot Point R11.0917
Daily Pivot Point R21.0973
Daily Pivot Point R31.1004

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
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