|

EUR/USD eases from tops, back around 1.1620

  • The pair’s upside momentum fades around 1.1640/50.
  • The greenback stays under pressure following US-China trade headlines.
  • ECB Forum, Draghi next of relevance in Euroland.

After recording fresh daily highs in the 1.1640/50 band, EUR/USD has now given away some gains and returned to the 1.1630/20 band ahead of the opening bell in Euroland.

EUR/USD looks to Draghi, risk trends

The pair fades the positive start in a context dominated by the risk-off sentiment after President Trump hinted that more tariffs on US imports from China could be in the pipeline.

In fact, Asian markets reacted negatively after news noted Trump was seeking another $200 billion in tariffs on Chinese products, prompting the trade dispute to escalate further and opening the door for extra retaliatory measures from China.

On another front, President Draghi is expected to speak today at the ECB Forum in Sintra (Portugal), although market participants appear to have ruled out any surprises at his speech, which should be much in line with his press conference at last week’s ECB meeting.

In the data space, ECB’s P.Praet is also due to speak, whereas Housing Starts and Building Permits are due across the pond.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is losing 0.01% at 1.1622 and a breakdown of 1.1543 (low Jun.15) would target 1.1508 (2018 low May 29) en route to 1.1479 (low Jul.20 2017). On the flip side, the next hurdle aligns at 1.1644 (high Jun.19) seconded by 1.1692 (21-day sma) and finally 1.1709 (10-day sma).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD steadies near 1.1650 ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls

EUR/USD holds ground after five days of losses, trading around 1.1650 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders remain cautious ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which is expected to offer further insight into labor market conditions and the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. December NFP is forecast to show job gains of 60,000, down from 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD: Further weakness could challenge 1.3400

GBP/USD remains under unabated selling pressure on Thursday, slipping to fresh three-day lows around 1.3415 in response to further improvement in the sentiment surrounding the Greenback ahead of Friday’s key NFP data.

Gold defends $4,450, looks to the crucial US NFP report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish move up from the vicinity of the $4,400 mark and attracts some sellers while defending $4,450 in the Asian session on Friday. The critical US employment details will offer more cues about the Fed's rate-cut path, which, in turn, will influence the US Dollar price dynamics and provide a fresh impetus to the non-yielding bullion. 

Forecasts for Payrolls are all over the place

Yesterday’s data put the kybosh on the idea the Fed needs to cut rates fairly urgently to protect the labor market. The jobs component of the ISM services index was nicely over 50, and that rising JOLTS voluntary quits rate also points to no real heartache in labor.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

XRP slides as institutional and retail demand falters

Ripple is trading down for the third consecutive day on Thursday amid escalating volatility in the cyrptocurrency market. After peaking at $2.41 on Tuesday, its highest print since November 14 amid the early-year rally, XRP has quickly ran into aggressive profit-taking.