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EUR/USD continues to move sideways below 1.0850 as markets turn quiet

  • Bundesbank sees German economic growth remaining weak in Q1.
  • US Dollar Index looks to close flat above 99.
  • ZEW Survey's Economic Sentiment for eurozone is expected to improve in February.

After posting its lowest weekly close since April of 2017 at 1.0832 last Friday, the EUR/USD is having a difficult time staging a meaningful recovery on Monday as the thin trading conditions force the pair to remain stuck in a tight 20-pip range. As of writing, the pair was up 0.09% on a daily basis at 1.0840.

Earlier in the day, Germany's central bank, Bundesbank, in its monthly report said the economic growth in Germany was expected to remain weak in the first quarter of 2020 amid weak exports and the coronavirus outbreak in China. Nevertheless, these remarks failed to trigger a market reaction.

Focus shifts to ZEW Survey

On Tuesday, the ZEW Survey for Germany and the eurozone will be looked upon for fresh catalysts. Analysts see the Economic Sentiment for the eurozone to improve to 30 in February from 25.6 in January but expect the same reading in Germany to drop to 20.4 from 26.7. An upbeat reading from Germany could help the shared currency start recovering its losses against the buck.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index is staying flat on the day near 99.10 in the absence of significant macroeconomic drivers. The US financial markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day and the index is likely to end the day unchanged or little changed.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's Empire State Manufacturing Survey will be the only significant data featured in the US economic docket on Tuesday.

Technical levels to watch for

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0837
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1.0837
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0997
Daily SMA501.1079
Daily SMA1001.1066
Daily SMA2001.1115
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0861
Previous Daily Low1.0827
Previous Weekly High1.0958
Previous Weekly Low1.0827
Previous Monthly High1.1225
Previous Monthly Low1.0992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.084
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0848
Daily Pivot Point S11.0823
Daily Pivot Point S21.0808
Daily Pivot Point S31.0789
Daily Pivot Point R11.0857
Daily Pivot Point R21.0876
Daily Pivot Point R31.0891

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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