• EUR/USD consolidates around the 1.1440s region, extending its losses to three days in a row.
  • EUR/USD printed a year-to-date low around 1.1430.
  • UoM Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 66.3, its lowest reading since November 2011.

EUR/USD barely declines during the day, consolidating around 1.1446, down some 0.01% at the time of writing. The shared currency has failed to gain traction against the greenback, which has remained bid during the Asian and the European session, gaining follow-through as the New York session begins.

Furthermore, the single currency downfall has extended for three days, printing year-to-date new lows in each of those days. In fact, earlier in the New York session, it reached a new yearly low at 1.1432, a level not seen since July 2020. At press time, the euro is consolidating around the 1.1440s region as we get ahead into the weekend.

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index drop overshadowed EU Industrial Production expansion

On the macroeconomic front, the Eurozone economic docket featured the Industrial Production for September, which increased by 5.2%, higher than the 4.1% foreseen, reported by Eurostat.

Across the pond, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for November fell to 66.8, lower than the 71.7 number in October, marking the lowest reading since November 2011.

Richard Curtin, the chief economist of Surveys of Consumers, said that “consumer sentiment fell in early November to its lowest level in a decade due to an escalating inflation rate and the growing belief among consumers that no effective policies have yet been developed to reduce the damage from surging inflation.”

According to Societe Generale analysts in a note to clients noted that “the euro will fall as a result” of difference between the US and Europan inflation threats. Further added that “the US faces a bigger and more demand-led inflation spike that cries out for tighter monetary policy, while in Europe it does not.” This cemented ECB dovishness postures, expressed by ECB top officials like President Christine Lagarde and ECB’s chief economist Philip Lane, who pushed back higher interest rates, saying that inflation is temporary and would moderate later in 2022.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The single currency continues sliding in the week, and if the trend accelerates, it could slide as low as 1.1255, the July 10, 2020 low, but it would find some hurdles on the way south. The first support would be June 10, 2020, high at 1.1423, followed by 1.1300, and the target mentioned above at 1.1255.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.1446
Today Daily Change -0.0001
Today Daily Change % -0.01
Today daily open 1.1447
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1592
Daily SMA50 1.1655
Daily SMA100 1.1731
Daily SMA200 1.1881
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.1488
Previous Daily Low 1.1443
Previous Weekly High 1.1616
Previous Weekly Low 1.1513
Previous Monthly High 1.1692
Previous Monthly Low 1.1524
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.146
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1471
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1431
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1415
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1386
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1475
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1504
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.152

 

 

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