The EUR opened on a slightly weak note this Monday morning on the back of the expected German election and Merkel victory.
The "sell the fact" trade saw EUR/JPY open lower at 133.45. Merkel's victory is widely being called as "hollow". Bloomberg Politicsl says, "Her party unexpectedly recorded its weakest result since 1949, and was helped to victory by her main challenger, Martin Schulz’s Social Democrats, performing even worse".
Mrs Merkel must now find coalition partners to form a government. The AfD, which channeled the slow reemergence of long-suppressed nationalism, which is set to enter parliament for the first time, is unlikely to be invited by Merkel.
Currently, the EUR/JPY pair is trading around 134.20. The uptick in USD/JPY is partly responsible for the recovery in EUR/JPY pair.
The formation of the new government looks extremely tricky. Merkel's coalition partners - FDP are against euro integration. This, coupled with Afd's entry into parliament could cap gains in the EUR.
EUR/JPY Technical Levels
A break above 134.28 [61.8% Fib R of 2014 high-2016 low] would open up upside towards 135.73 [Aug 2014 low] and 136.00 [zero levels]. On the downside, breach of support at 133.25 [support on the 4-hour chart] could yield a pull back to 132.92 [4-hour 50-MA] and 132.00 [zero levels].
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.0750 after US data
EUR/USD manages to hold in positive territory above 1.0750 despite retreating from the fresh multi-week high it set above 1.0800 earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to find demand following the weaker-than-expected NFP data.
GBP/USD declines below 1.2550 following NFP-inspired upsurge
GBP/USD struggles to preserve its bullish momentum and trades below 1.2550 in the American session. Earlier in the day, the disappointing April jobs report from the US triggered a USD selloff and allowed the pair to reach multi-week highs above 1.2600.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,300 despite falling US yields
Gold stays on the back foot below $2,300 in the American session on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in negative territory below 4.6% after weak US data but the improving risk mood doesn't allow XAU/USD to gain traction.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Should you buy BTC here? Premium
Bitcoin (BTC) price shows signs of a potential reversal but lacks confirmation, which has divided the investor community into two – those who are buying the dips and those who are expecting a further correction.
Week ahead – BoE and RBA decisions headline a calm week
Bank of England meets on Thursday, unlikely to signal rate cuts. Reserve Bank of Australia could maintain a higher-for-longer stance. Elsewhere, Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions.