|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Sold-off at key $126.80 rising trendline hurdle

  • EUR/JPY drops sharply after rejection at higher levels.
  • 21-HMA at $125.96 to offer some respite to the buyers.
  • Risk-off mood seeps back as Japan PM Abe set to resign.

EUR/JPY witnessed a steep drop of nearly 70-pips in the last hour, mainly on reports that the Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is set to resign from his position due to worsening health conditions.

The Abe news triggered a fresh risk-aversion wave and downed the Japanese equities, lifting the safe-haven appeal of the yen. The benchmark Nikkei 225 index closed 1.40% lower while USD/JPY nursed losses around 106.30 region after the U-turn from just shy of the 107 mark.

From a short-term technical perspective, the sell-off in the EUR/JPY cross was sparked after it faced rejection at the rising trendline resistance of $126.78.

The spot fell as low as $126.03 before swiftly recovering to near $126.20 region, where it now wavers. Despite the declines, the pair managed to hold above the critical 21-hourly Simple Moving Average (HMA), now at $125.96.

A break below the latter will open floors towards the next support at $125.66, the horizontal 50-HMA. Acceptance below that level will challenge the confluence of the 100 and 200-HMAs at $125.50.

Meanwhile, any recoveries will meet fresh supply near $126.50, the psychological level. Buyers will then aim for a retest of the above-mentioned rising trendline resistance.  

The hourly Relative Strength Index has turned flat but holds above the midline, suggesting that a bounce cannot be ruled out.

EUR/JPY: Hourly chart

fxsoriginal

EUR/JPY: Additional levels

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price126.18
Today Daily Change0.22
Today Daily Change %0.17
Today daily open125.97
 
Trends
Daily SMA20125.36
Daily SMA50123.24
Daily SMA100120.73
Daily SMA200120.5
 
Levels
Previous Daily High126.1
Previous Daily Low125.14
Previous Weekly High126.46
Previous Weekly Low124.44
Previous Monthly High125.21
Previous Monthly Low120.26
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%125.73
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%125.5
Daily Pivot Point S1125.37
Daily Pivot Point S2124.78
Daily Pivot Point S3124.42
Daily Pivot Point R1126.33
Daily Pivot Point R2126.69
Daily Pivot Point R3127.29

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains offered below 1.1600, seems vulnerable near multi-month low

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1530 region, or the lowest level since November 2025, and lower for the third consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices slide back below the 1.1600 mark during the Asian session and seem vulnerable to slide further.

GBP/USD slips below key averages as geopolitical risks mount

GBP/USD fell about 0.35% on Tuesday, settling around 1.3350 after slipping below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average for the first time since early December. The pair has pulled back sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870, shedding over 500 pips in a series of lower highs and lower lows. 

Gold rebounds ahead of US ADP, will it last?

Gold finds renewed Asian bids and retests $5,230 early Wednesday after the heavy sell-off on Tuesday. The US Dollar stands tall amid escalating Middle East tensions and reduced dovish Fed expectations. Gold defends $5,000 or 50% Fibo level after facing rejection at the 78.6% Fibo resistance at $5,342 amid bullish RSI.  

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple struggle for direction as consolidation persists

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple prices trade with a cautious tone at the time of writing on Wednesday as upside momentum continues to fade across the broader crypto market. BTC remains within a parallel channel, ETH struggles below key resistance, while XRP remains fragile within a descending channel. These top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization continue to struggle to establish a directional bias amid the consolidation phase.

Energy shock 2.0: Why rising Gas prices could hit the Euro

Even without a confirmed, sustained disruption, the mere risk to a key global energy chokepoint is enough to inject a significant premium into European Gas markets. And for the Euro, that matters.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.