|

EUR/JPY declines as geopolitical tensions, hawkish BoJ boost Yen

  • EUR/JPY edges lower around 182.90 on Wednesday, pressured by renewed demand for the Japanese Yen.
  • Eurozone inflation slows in December, confirming a gradual easing of price pressures.
  • Rising geopolitical tensions in Asia and the BoJ’s still-hawkish tone support the Japanese currency.

EUR/JPY trades around 182.90 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.10% on the day. The cross remains under pressure as the Japanese Yen (JPY) benefits from a more defensive market environment, amid rising geopolitical tensions in Asia and continued firm signals from the Bank of Japan (BoJ).

On the European side, the latest data published by Eurostat show that the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) rose by 2% YoY in December, in line with market expectations, after 2.1% in November. On a monthly basis, inflation increased by 0.2%, following a 0.3% decline in the previous month. Core inflation, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy, also slowed to 2.3% on an annual basis from 2.4%, confirming a gradual easing of inflationary pressures across the monetary union.

These figures, however, come against a still-fragile economic backdrop, particularly in Germany. Retail Sales there declined by 0.6% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October, running counter to market expectations. At the same time, German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices inflation slowed sharply in December, reinforcing the view that price dynamics remain subdued in the Eurozone’s largest economy. Activity indicators also point to some loss of momentum, with the Eurozone Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) revised lower for December.

In Asia, the Japanese Yen is supported by a clear deterioration in risk appetite. On Tuesday, tensions between China and Japan escalated after Beijing announced a ban on exports of dual-use goods to Japan, in retaliation for comments by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi regarding Taiwan. This diplomatic escalation between the world’s second- and third-largest economies has reignited geopolitical concerns and boosted demand for the JPY as a safe-haven currency.

Additional support comes from remarks by BoJ Governor Kazuho Ueda, who reiterated the institution’s commitment to further monetary tightening. Although investors remain cautious about the exact timing of the next interest rate hike, this hawkish bias continues to provide structural support to the Japanese Yen. That said, concerns surrounding Japan’s fiscal situation could limit the enthusiasm of JPY bulls and cap the extent of EUR/JPY downside in the near term.

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.00%0.05%-0.08%0.00%0.08%-0.08%0.06%
EUR0.00%0.05%-0.07%0.00%0.08%-0.08%0.06%
GBP-0.05%-0.05%-0.13%-0.04%0.03%-0.13%0.02%
JPY0.08%0.07%0.13%0.09%0.16%-0.01%0.14%
CAD-0.01%-0.01%0.04%-0.09%0.07%-0.10%0.04%
AUD-0.08%-0.08%-0.03%-0.16%-0.07%-0.16%-0.02%
NZD0.08%0.08%0.13%0.01%0.10%0.16%0.15%
CHF-0.06%-0.06%-0.02%-0.14%-0.04%0.02%-0.15%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.