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EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Bulls jump around 0.8550 and lift the pair to fresh 2-week highs above 0.8600

  • The EUR/GBP seesawed in a volatile 100-pip trading session on Friday.
  • Weak data from the UK and the EU left traders undecided on which direction to take.
  • The EUR/GBP daily chart depicts the pair as upward biased, but the 4-hour illustrates the cross might correct towards 0.8550 before resuming the uptrend.

The EUR/GBP advances during the day, though retraced from near two-week highs around 0.8678 on Friday, amidst an upbeat market mood that triggered support for risk-sensitive currencies in the FX space, the British pound one of them. At 0.8621, the EUR/GBP is trading in the green by just 0.19%.

A volatile session characterized EUR/GBP Friday’s price action. Weaker than expected, UK’s factory data lifted the cross-currency. Nevertheless, it began to pare its losses of late after hot Eurozone inflation, alongside languish factory output, was reported, painting a gloomy scenario for the EU.

EUR/GBP Daily chart

The EUR/GBP daily chart depicts the pair as neutral-upward biased. Traders should note how the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stayed steady between 50 and 70 since May, while the EUR/GBP rallied from 0.8250 to the YTD high above 0.8700. Therefore, the EUR/GBP might extend its rally in the near term and even challenge the YTD high above 0.8700, but a break above 0.8678 is needed. On the other hand, if EUR/GBP sellers plunge prices below 0.8550, that could pave the way to the 200-day EMA at 0.8442.

EUR/GBP 4-Hour chart

In the near term, the EUR/GBP 4-hour chart depicts the pair trading inside an ascending channel that has kept the cross-currency pair trading within a 100-pip range. On Friday, the cross reached the top of the range and reversed, piercing the R2 and R1 daily pivots, each at 0.8662 and 0.8633, before settling around the 20-EMA at 0.8622. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 50.72 accelerates its fall towards the mid-line, and a cross below would pave the way for further downside in the EUR/GBP pair.

Therefore, the EUR/GBP’s first support would be the 50-EMA at 0.8609. Break below would expose the 100-EMA at 0.8592, followed by the June 30 swing low at 0.8551.

EUR/GBP Key Technical Levels

 

Overview
Today last price0.8619
Today Daily Change0.0010
Today Daily Change %0.12
Today daily open0.861
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8581
Daily SMA500.8524
Daily SMA1000.8438
Daily SMA2000.8446
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.862
Previous Daily Low0.8551
Previous Weekly High0.8641
Previous Weekly Low0.8562
Previous Monthly High0.8721
Previous Monthly Low0.8486
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8577
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8594
Daily Pivot Point S10.8568
Daily Pivot Point S20.8525
Daily Pivot Point S30.8499
Daily Pivot Point R10.8637
Daily Pivot Point R20.8663
Daily Pivot Point R30.8706

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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