EUR/AUD has found bullish traction once again following hawkish ECB cut


  • EUR/AUD back in the hands of the bulls.
  • Bull targets comes at the 38.2% Fibo' of the recent range located in the 1.6240s.

EUR/AUD has found bullish traction once again and sits on the 1.61 handle following the European Central Bank event which let the doves down with a hawkish rate cut for the bare minimum.

The ECB cut the deposit rate 10bp to -50bp and reintroduced QE of EUR20bn. "That volume was towards the lower end of forecasts, but it is open-ended, so longer in duration than expected. The ECB is tiering the deposit rate, and some deposits at the central bank will be excluded from negative rates," analysts at ANZ Bank explained. 

Focus is back on the Fed

The focus now looks to the Federal Reserve next where a rate cut is priced in. "Markets are pricing 24bp of easing at the 19 September Fed meeting, and a terminal rate of 1.21% (Fed funds rate currently 2.13%)," analysts at Westpac explained. The euro can find traction should the Fed cut rates and do so dovishley, indicating further rate cuts if needed down the line. As for the Aussie, trade war tensions have eased up fuelling a bid on the commodity sector which the Aussie trades as a proxy. 

EUR/AUD levels

The cross burst below the critical support area made up of the 200-daily moving average, trendline support and a 50% mean reversion of the November July upside range, but was driven right back and to a higher close leaving a bullish pin bar on the daily charts. Bulls can target the 21 and 50-daily moving average that meets the 38.2% Fibo' of the aforementioned range located in the 1.6240s guarding a run to the May spike highs and the 23.6% Fibo located at 1.6450. 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD drops below 1.11 amid upbeat US data, trade concerns

EUR/USD is trading below 1.11 after robust US housing figures and solid consumer sentiment figures were published. Earlier, the common currency suffered from the concerns of new US tariffs on the EU.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD down 100 pips after UK retail sales badly disappoint, amid USD strength

GBP/USD has plunged below 1.3050 after UK retail sales badly disappointed with a fall of 0.6% in December, on top of downward revisions. Odds of a BOE cut have risen.

GBP/USD News

Crypto market hyperspace mode On

The secondary actors of the crypto-sphere awaken and rally hard. Leading coins battle with greater resistance at the gates of a full bullish market. The only risk is an over-shoot, but that sentiment remains neutral.

Read more

Gold: Sustained move beyond 200-hour SMA sets the stage for further gains

Gold edged higher through the mid-European session on Friday and is currently placed near the top end of its weekly trading range, around the $1560 region.

Gold News

USD/JPY: Losing bullish momentum but retaining gains

Chinese encouraging data kept markets in risk-on mode at the beginning of the day. The US January Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is seen at 99.3, matching December figure. USD/JPY holding at the upper end of its weekly range could correct lower.

USD/JPY News

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures