|

NZD/USD dives back closer to 0.6000 after RBNZ leaves rates unchanged

  • NZD/USD attracts fresh sellers after the RBNZ decided to leave rates unchanged, as expected.
  • Traders now look to the post-meeting press conference for cues about the further rate path.
  • Dovish Fed expectations keep the USD bulls on the defensive and could support spot prices.

The NZD/USD pair meets with a fresh supply after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced its policy decision on Wednesday. Spot prices slide back closer to an over one-week low, touched the previous day, with bears now awaiting a break below the 0.6000 psychological mark before positioning for further losses.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) weakens after the RBNZ, as was widely expected, decided to hold the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 2.25% at the end of the February monetary policy meeting this Wednesday. Following three consecutive rate cuts in 2025, this marks a pause in the current easing cycle, albeit it does little to provide any impetus to the NZD in the absence of a major hawkish shift.

In the accompanying policy statement, the RBNZ signaled that inflation is returning to target and revised its future rate path slightly higher. The central bank added that policy remains accommodative for now, and a gradual normalisation is expected. Traders now look to the post-meeting press conference, where comments from RBNZ Governor, Anna Breman, will influence expectations about the next policy move.

This, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the NZD and the NZD/USD pair. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers amid bets that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower borrowing costs in June and deliver at least two rate cuts in 2026. This, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the currency pair, making it prudent to wait for some follow-through selling before placing fresh bearish bets.

Economic Indicator

RBNZ Press Conference

Following the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ)monetary policy decision, the Governor gives a press conference explaining the rationale behind the decision. The comments may influence the volatility of the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and determine a short-term positive or negative trend.

Read more.

Next release: Wed Feb 18, 2026 02:00

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) holds monetary policy meetings seven times a year, announcing their decision on interest rates and the economic assessments that influenced their decision. The central bank offers clues on the economic outlook and future policy path, which are of high relevance for the NZD valuation. Positive economic developments and upbeat outlook could lead the RBNZ to tighten the policy by hiking interest rates, which tends to be NZD bullish. The policy announcements are usually followed by Governor Anna Breman's press conference.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD trims some losses, bounces back to 0.7150

AUD/USD has traded on the back foot on Monday, coming close to the 0.7100 mark before rebounding toward the 0.7150 region ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The Greenback’s solid performance has kept the risk complex under pressure, sending the Aussie to fresh monthly lows on the back of rising bets for a Fed rate hike this week. on Tuesday, investors are now expected to closely follow key data releases in China.


USD/JPY: Japanese Yen edges lower vs USD amid Middle East jitters as Fed, BoJ meetings loom

The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers at the start of a new week and climbs closer to the 154.00 mark during the Asian session, reversing a part of Friday's losses. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a range held over the past week or so and within striking distance of a nearly seven-month low, touched last Tuesday, as traders await this week's key central bank events.


Gold retests $4,300; USD losses momentum

Gold picks up fresh upside traction and challenges the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal, however, remain on the back foot on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

JasmyCoin: Upbit delisting raises risk of further losses

JasmyCoin shows signs of stability at the time of writing on Monday. However, the token remains constrained between support at $0.0035 and resistance at $0.0040. Since May, its technical structure has continued to deteriorate, with the price falling from highs of $0.0078. JASMY’s outlook suggests that bears have the upper hand as bulls fight to defend key support levels.

Will the Fed deliver the hawkishness markets are pricing in?

Fed hike bets increase after PPI and CPI reports. Updated dot plot to be crucial for the dollar’s reaction. Warsh’s independence faces test amid Trump’s pressure for lower rates. For the Dollar to extend gains, Fed needs to satisfy current hawkish bets.


Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.