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Dollar Index Price Analysis: Sidelined above 90.20, potential inverse H&S pattern on D1

  • The dollar index eyes hourly chart descending trendline hurdle. 
  • A breakout could pave the way for an inverse H&S pattern.

The dollar index (DXY), which tracks the greenback's value against majors, is sidelined near 90.25 at press time, having jumped 0.12% on Friday. 

The bullish divergence of the hourly chart Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests scope for an extension of Friday's gain toward the descending trendline hurdle, currently at 90.38. 

Acceptance above that level would imply an end of the pullback from the Jan. 18 high of 90.95 and open the doors for completion of the right shoulder of the inverse head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern on the daily chart.    

The neckline hurdle of the potential inverse head-and-shoulders would be near 90.92.  A breakout would imply a bearish-to-bullish trend change. On the downside, Friday's low of 90.05 is the level to beat for the bears. 

The US 10-year yield remains flat near 1.09% for the seventh straight day, having rallied from 0.905 to 1.17% earlier this month. However, the US inflation expectations continue to rise on expectations for bigger fiscal spending under Joe Biden's Presidency. 

As such, the yields are more likely to resume the rally and put a bid under the greenback. 

Daily chart

Hourly chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.216
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.2168
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2198
Daily SMA501.2113
Daily SMA1001.1942
Daily SMA2001.1641
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.219
Previous Daily Low1.2152
Previous Weekly High1.219
Previous Weekly Low1.2054
Previous Monthly High1.231
Previous Monthly Low1.1924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2166
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2175
Daily Pivot Point S11.215
Daily Pivot Point S21.2132
Daily Pivot Point S31.2112
Daily Pivot Point R11.2188
Daily Pivot Point R21.2208
Daily Pivot Point R31.2226

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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