Dollar Index Price Analysis: Sidelined above 90.20, potential inverse H&S pattern on D1


  • The dollar index eyes hourly chart descending trendline hurdle. 
  • A breakout could pave the way for an inverse H&S pattern.

The dollar index (DXY), which tracks the greenback's value against majors, is sidelined near 90.25 at press time, having jumped 0.12% on Friday. 

The bullish divergence of the hourly chart Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests scope for an extension of Friday's gain toward the descending trendline hurdle, currently at 90.38. 

Acceptance above that level would imply an end of the pullback from the Jan. 18 high of 90.95 and open the doors for completion of the right shoulder of the inverse head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern on the daily chart.    

The neckline hurdle of the potential inverse head-and-shoulders would be near 90.92.  A breakout would imply a bearish-to-bullish trend change. On the downside, Friday's low of 90.05 is the level to beat for the bears. 

The US 10-year yield remains flat near 1.09% for the seventh straight day, having rallied from 0.905 to 1.17% earlier this month. However, the US inflation expectations continue to rise on expectations for bigger fiscal spending under Joe Biden's Presidency. 

As such, the yields are more likely to resume the rally and put a bid under the greenback. 

Daily chart

Hourly chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.216
Today Daily Change -0.0008
Today Daily Change % -0.07
Today daily open 1.2168
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2198
Daily SMA50 1.2113
Daily SMA100 1.1942
Daily SMA200 1.1641
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.219
Previous Daily Low 1.2152
Previous Weekly High 1.219
Previous Weekly Low 1.2054
Previous Monthly High 1.231
Previous Monthly Low 1.1924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2166
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2175
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.215
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2132
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2112
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2188
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2208
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2226

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias, holds above 1.0700 as traders await US PCE Price Index

EUR/USD trades with negative bias, holds above 1.0700 as traders await US PCE Price Index

EUR/USD edges lower during the Asian session on Friday and moves away from a two-week high, around the 1.0740 area touched the previous day. Spot prices trade around the 1.0725-1.0720 region and remain at the mercy of the US Dollar price dynamics ahead of the crucial US data.

EUR/USD News

USD/JPY jumps above 156.00 on BoJ's steady policy

USD/JPY jumps above 156.00 on BoJ's steady policy

USD/JPY has come under intense buying pressure, surging past 156.00 after the Bank of Japan kept the key rate unchanged but tweaked its policy statement. The BoJ maintained its fiscal year 2024 and 2025 core inflation forecasts, disappointing the Japanese Yen buyers. 

USD/JPY News

Gold price flatlines as traders look to US PCE Price Index for some meaningful impetus

Gold price flatlines as traders look to US PCE Price Index for some meaningful impetus

Gold price lacks any firm intraday direction and is influenced by a combination of diverging forces. The weaker US GDP print and a rise in US inflation benefit the metal amid subdued USD demand. Hawkish Fed expectations cap the upside as traders await the release of the US PCE Price Index.

Gold News

Sei Price Prediction: SEI is in the zone of interest after a 10% leap

Sei Price Prediction: SEI is in the zone of interest after a 10% leap

Sei price has been in recovery mode for almost ten days now, following a fall of almost 65% beginning in mid-March. While the SEI bulls continue to show strength, the uptrend could prove premature as massive bearish sentiment hovers above the altcoin’s price.

Read more

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

The core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen as the more influential measure of inflation in terms of Fed positioning. The index is forecast to rise 0.3% on a monthly basis in March, matching February’s increase. 

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures