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Breaking: Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD jumps to over one-week tops, above $1850 post-US CPI

  • Gold gained traction for the fourth consecutive session on Wednesday amid softer USD.
  • The USD lost additional ground following the release of softer-than-anticipated CPI figures.
  • A combination of factors might keep a lid on any runaway rally for the safe-haven metal.

Gold held on to its modest intraday gains through the early North American session and refreshed one-week tops, beyond the $1850 region post-US CPI figures.

A subdued US dollar demand assisted the dollar-denominated commodity to gain some positive traction for the fourth consecutive session on Wednesday. The intraday buying interest picked up pace following the release of softer-than-expected US consumer inflation report, which showed that core CPI remained flat in January.

Conversely, the headline CPI matched consensus estimates and rose 0.3% MoM. Meanwhile, the yearly rate eased more-than-anticipated to 1.4% and exerted some additional pressure on the greenback. A sustained strength beyond the $1850 level might have already set the stage for an extension of the momentum towards the $1875-76 supply zone.

That said, a combination of factors might hold held bullish traders from placing aggressive bets and keep a lid on any runaway rally for the XAU/USD. The optimism over the progress in coronavirus vaccination has been fueling hopes for a strong global economic recovery. This, along with developments to fast-track the US President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 stimulus package, continued boosting investors' sentiment and could undermine demand for the safe-haven XAU/USD.

Meanwhile, expectations for a massive US fiscal spending and the prevalent risk-on flow provided a modest lift to the US Treasury bond yields. This might turn out to be another factor that might further contribute towards capping gains for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1842.48
Today Daily Change6.44
Today Daily Change %0.35
Today daily open1836.04
 
Trends
Daily SMA201841.18
Daily SMA501859.59
Daily SMA1001870.35
Daily SMA2001855.44
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1848.63
Previous Daily Low1828.93
Previous Weekly High1871.9
Previous Weekly Low1785.02
Previous Monthly High1959.42
Previous Monthly Low1802.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1841.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1836.46
Daily Pivot Point S11827.1
Daily Pivot Point S21818.17
Daily Pivot Point S31807.4
Daily Pivot Point R11846.8
Daily Pivot Point R21857.57
Daily Pivot Point R31866.5

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