|

Bond yields are currently likely in the process of topping out – JP Morgan

Analysts at JP Morgan highlight the recently sluggish Treasury bond performance while suggesting a pullback in the coupons as they said, “Bond yields are currently likely in the process of topping out.”

While citing the reasons, the investment bank stated that the disinflation phase had begun.

JP Morgan also mentioned that inflation would drop meaningfully lower in three to six months.

The US-based bank forecasts that core inflation will be at 5.3% YoY in the first quarter (Q1) of 2023, compared to the latest print of 6.6%.

It’s worth noting that the yields began the week on the positive side before marking a retreat as traders turn cautious ahead of the critical US Wednesday’s all-important Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). That said, the US 10-year Treasury yields remain sidelined near 4.05% by the press time.

Also read: Forex Today: Dollar strengthens ahead of RBA, Fed and more

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains below 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains on the back foot below 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3400, awaits BoE and US CPI

GBP/USD oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3400 in European trading on Thursday. The pair trades with caution as markets eagerly await the BoE policy verdict and US consumer inflation data for fresh directional impetus. 

Gold holds losses below $4,350 ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher and holds its pullback below $4,350 in the European session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar bounce. All eyes now remain on the US CPI inflation data. 

US CPI set to grow at stable 3.1% in November, further complicating the Fed’s dilemma

The US Consumer Price Index is forecast to rise 3.1% YoY in November, a mild uptick compared with September. The inflation report will not include monthly CPI figures.

Bitcoin steadies near $87,000 as strong ETF inflows offset bearish pressure

Bitcoin price hovers around $87,000 on Thursday, stabilizing after declining earlier this week. US-listed spot ETFs recorded $457.29 million in inflows on Wednesday, the highest single-day inflows since November 11.

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.