|

BoC's Macklem: Not really seeing downward momentum in underlying inflation

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said on Friday that they were concerned because they were not really seeing a downward momentum in inflation, per Reuters.

Key quotes

"Bank of Canada is not expecting a recession in Canada."

"When bank releases economic projections on October 25, we're not going to be forecasting a serious recession."

"When Governing Council next meets, it will focus on whether to stick with its 5% rate or if more action is needed to restore price stability."

"Higher long-term bond yields are not a substitute for doing what needs to be done to get inflation back down to our target."

"We are seeing clear signs monetary policy is working to rebalance supply and demand but inflation is still too high."

"We will continue to face geopolitical shocks; in this environment, we need to be prepared for ongoing volatility."

"This is adding uncertainty; monetary policy can influence demand to relieve inflationary pressures, but supply is harder to predict."

"Strength of Canadian economy means people are getting wage increases that will help make it easier to digest impact of higher mortgage rates after renewal."

"Longer run inflation expectations remain well anchored; shorter run expectations have come down but they are still too high."

Market reaction

USD/CAD edged lower following these comments and was last seen losing 0.25% on the day at 1.3655.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims gains, back to around 1.3500

GBP/USD now surrenders part of the earlier move to multi-week peaks around 1.3530 and comes close to the 1.3500 support on Monday. Cable’s uptick comes in tandem with decent gains in the Greenback, always amid persistent uncertainty lingering over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD deflates to 1.1540

EUR/USD begins the week on the back foot, retesting the 1.1540 zone as the NA session draws to a close. The better tone in the US Dollar weighs on the risk complex, sparking the daily correction in spot, always on the back of unabated effervescence in the Middle East.

Gold advances to over a two-month high, further beyond $4,400

Gold climbs further beyond $4,400, touching its highest level since June 5 during the Asian session on Tuesday. Easing Fed rate hike expectations continue to drive flows towards the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices back the case for at least one rate hike in 2026, which supports the US Dollar and might cap the precious metal ahead of the crucial US CPI report on Wednesday.

Ethereum: SharpLink reports loss as BitMine continues share buybacks and ETH acquisitions

SharpLink reported $394.3 million in Q2 net losses following heavy declines in the crypto market, over a 3.5x decline from the $103.4 million losses in Q2 2025, according to a filing on Monday. The losses comprise $321 million in unrealized crypto losses on its ETH holdings and $76.1 million in impairments on its liquid staking tokens LsETH and weETH.

RBA set to hold interest rate at 4.35% as softer inflation cools hike bets

The Reserve Bank of Australia is on track to keep the Official Cash Rate (OCR) steady at 4.35% for the second consecutive meeting on Tuesday. The decision will be announced at 04:30 GMT, accompanied by the Monetary Policy Statement and updated economic forecasts. RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s press conference will follow at 05:30 GMT.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.