|

BoC: Business Outlook Survey points to slight improvement in business sentiment

  • Bank of Canada says business sentiment improved slightly in Q3.
  • The USD/CAD pair edged lower toward 1.31 with the initial reaction to the publication.

The Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey for the third quarter highlighted that there was a slight improvement in the business sentiment but noted regional differences were more pronounced.

The USD/CAD retreated slightly from its session highs with the initial reaction to the publication and was last seen trading near 1.3100, adding 0.15% on a daily basis. Below are some additional key takeaways, as reported by Reuters.

"Indicators of future sales are positive in most regions, especially Quebec, but soft in the prairies; foreign demand slightly positive but weighed down by trade tensions."

"Firms' expectations of US economic growth have weakened, some expect a small US recession over the next 12 months and anticipate sales to be directly or indirectly negatively affected."

"Plans to invest and hire more in next 12 months are healthy outside of energy-producing regions; firms in central Canada and British Columbia intend to expand workforces."

"Capacity pressures somewhat elevated in firms concentrated in central Canada and British Columbia due to tightening labor constraints; firms anticipate capacity pressures will increase over the next 12 months."

"Input price growth expected to soften modestly due to less pressure from commodity-related inputs."

"Output prices expected to grow at a slightly greater rate than over past 12 months to pass along higher labor and non-commodity input costs."

"Firms reporting marginal easing in credit conditions over past three months."

"Regional sentiment suggests widespread confidence in quebec and ontario, modest levels in British Columbia and Atlantic Canada, and negative sentiment in the prairies due to ongoing challenges in the energy sector."

"Inflation expectations are unchanged; majority of firms still anticipate inflation will be in lower half of bank's target range."

"Mortgage lending conditions eased in Q3 while non-mortgage lending conditions tightened; concerns about economic outlook and energy sector in prairies resulted in tightened price and non-price lending conditions."

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold loses the grip; $4,000 comes next on the downside

Gold sets aside two daily advances in a row on Friday, opening the door to a potential test of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s retracement follows a decent improvement in the sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, solid NFP data and higher US Treasury yields across the board.

Democrats win House and Senate in US midterms: Why isn’t all bad news for crypto

The biggest story this week was Tuesday’s US midterm elections, which saw Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in a clear blue wave. This political shift in the US has triggered sharp price swings across the cryptocurrency market.

Week ahead – Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts

Post-midterm election euphoria fizzles out as risk aversion prevails. US CPI, PPI and Fedspeak on the radar as Fed hike bets remain supported. Oil retreat pauses on mixed hopes about the ongoing conflicts.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.