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AUD/USD sticks to intraday losses, holds above mid-0.7400s

  • COVID-19 jitters, softer Chinese GDP print prompted some selling around AUD/USD on Thursday.
  • A subdued USD price action helped limit any deeper losses ahead of US data/Powell’s testimony.

The AUD/USD pair maintained its offered tone through the first half of the European session and was last seen hovering near the 0.7465 region, just a few pips above daily lows.

The pair failed to capitalize on the previous day's positive move, instead met with some fresh supply on Thursday and was pressured by a combination of factors. The Australian state of Victoria was ordered into a five-day lockdown on Thursday following a spike in COVID-19 infections, which, in turn, acted as a headwind for the AUD/USD pair.

Apart from concerns about the spread of the highly contagious Delta variant of the coronavirus, a slowdown in Chinese economic growth exerted some additional pressure on the China-proxy aussie. In fact, China's annualized GDP growth for the second quarter of 2021 stood at 7.9% as against consensus estimates pointing to 8.1% and 18.3% previous.

The negative factors, to a larger extent, were offset by a softer tone surrounding the US dollar, which was seen as the only factor lending some support to the AUD/USD pair. The greenback was weighed down by an extension of the previous day's sharp decline in the US Treasury bond yields and the Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish testimony.

During the semi-annual congressional testimony, Powell reiterated that the spike in inflation was only temporary. His remarks overshadowed this week's inflation figures, which showed that the US producer prices posted their biggest annual increase in nearly 11 years and consumer prices jumped to the highest level in more than 13 years in June.

Looking at the broader picture, the AUD/USD pair has been oscillating in a narrow band over the past one week or so. The range-bound price action constitutes the formation of a rectangle, which might be categorized as a bearish consolidation phase before the next leg down. The technical set-up supports prospects for further near-term downfall.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the releases of the usual Initial Weekly Jobless Claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index. This, along with the US bond yields and Powell's second day of congressional testimony, will influence the USD price dynamics and produce some short-term trading opportunities around the AUD/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7465
Today Daily Change-0.0016
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open0.7481
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7514
Daily SMA500.7653
Daily SMA1000.7681
Daily SMA2000.7585
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7487
Previous Daily Low0.743
Previous Weekly High0.7599
Previous Weekly Low0.7409
Previous Monthly High0.7794
Previous Monthly Low0.7477
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7465
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7452
Daily Pivot Point S10.7445
Daily Pivot Point S20.741
Daily Pivot Point S30.7389
Daily Pivot Point R10.7502
Daily Pivot Point R20.7523
Daily Pivot Point R30.7558

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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