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AUD/USD retreats on US jobless claims, hovers around 0.6730s

  • AUD/USD fell from 0.6760s as US Treasury bond yields exploded.
  • US jobless claims continued their downtrend, printing figures below estimates.
  • What to watch? Australia’s PMIs, US Services PMIs, and Fed speakers.

AUD/USD found resistance at around 0.6760, dropping almost 0.40% on Thursday after solid economic data from the United States (US) was released. A tight labor market, and last week’s higher inflation figures in the US, suggest that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) still has ways to go to curb inflation. The AUD/USD exchanges hands at around 0.6730s.

AUD/USD to finish Thursday’s session with losses

Wall Street Is set to close with solid gains in Thursday’s session. Nevertheless, in the FX space, risk-perceived currencies, like the Australian Dollar (AUD), took their toll on higher US Treasury bond yields, with 2s, 5s, and 10s, staying above the 4.08% threshold. Consequently, the US Dollar rose, as shown by the US Dollar Index (DXY), up 0.57%, at 104.965.

The US docket revealed that Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending February 25 came at 190,000 below the 195,000 estimated by analysts. Following the release,  US Treasury bond yields skyrocketed above the 4% mark, with 2s reaching as high as 4.90%, while the DXY hit a daily high of 105.180.

The AUD/USD edged lower and hit a daily low of 0.6706; sellers failed to extend its fall below the R1 daily pivot point at around 0.6707. nevertheless, the AUD/USD recovered some ground, on Atlanta’s Fed President Raphael Bostic saying that the Fed could be in a position to pause by mid-late summer.

Bostic added that he foresees the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) to peak at around 5.00% - 5.25% and reiterated that it will stay there “well into 2024.”

What to Watch?

The docket will feature the S&P Global Services PMI on the Australian front, while China’s data with the Caixin Services PMI will also influence the Aussie Dollar (AUD). On the US front, Fed speakers would cross newswires alongside the release of the ISM and S&P Global Services PMIs.

AUD/USD Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6732
Today Daily Change-0.0022
Today Daily Change %-0.33
Today daily open0.6754
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6879
Daily SMA500.6896
Daily SMA1000.6739
Daily SMA2000.6796
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6784
Previous Daily Low0.6695
Previous Weekly High0.6921
Previous Weekly Low0.6719
Previous Monthly High0.7158
Previous Monthly Low0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.675
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6729
Daily Pivot Point S10.6705
Daily Pivot Point S20.6656
Daily Pivot Point S30.6617
Daily Pivot Point R10.6794
Daily Pivot Point R20.6833
Daily Pivot Point R30.6882

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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