|

AUD/USD remains depressed below 0.6800 handle, focus shifts to US macro data

  • Speculation of a further RBA policy easing exerted some fresh downward pressure.
  • The recent positive trade-related developments failed to inspire the Aussie bulls.
  • Investors look forward to the US economic releases for some meaningful impetus.

The AUD/USD pair came under some renewed selling pressure on Wednesday and remained well within the striking distance of over one-month lows set earlier this week.

The pair failed to capitalize on the previous session's attempted recovery move, supported by positive trade rhetoric, and edged lower during the Asian session on Wednesday despite better-than-expected Aussie data.

Weighed down by renewed RBA easing speculations

According to the trend estimates, Australia's total Construction Work Done fell 0.4% during the third quarter of 2019 as against a drop of 1.0% expected and the previous quarter's upwardly revised reading of -2.8%.

However, the fact that the gauge marked the fifth straight quarterly decline reinforced prospects for a further monetary policy easing by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and exerted some fresh downward pressure.

This comes on the back of the recent trade news fatigue and turned out to be one of the key factors that weighed on the China-proxy Australian dollar despite improving global risk sentiment/the prevalent risk-on mood.

In the latest trade-related developments, the US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that we are in the final throes of a very important deal with China that would defuse a 16-month trade war.

Meanwhile, investors seemed hesitant to place any aggressive directional bets, rather preferred to wait on the sideline before the actual deal is signed, which might eventually lead a subdued/range-bound price action.

Moving ahead, Wednesday's US economic docket – highlighting the release of Durable Goods Orders and the second estimate of Q3 GDP growth figures – might influence the US dollar price dynamics and provide a fresh impetus.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.678
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.13
Today daily open0.6789
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6842
Daily SMA500.6807
Daily SMA1000.6828
Daily SMA2000.6928
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6796
Previous Daily Low0.6768
Previous Weekly High0.6835
Previous Weekly Low0.678
Previous Monthly High0.693
Previous Monthly Low0.667
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6785
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6779
Daily Pivot Point S10.6773
Daily Pivot Point S20.6756
Daily Pivot Point S30.6745
Daily Pivot Point R10.68
Daily Pivot Point R20.6812
Daily Pivot Point R30.6828

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1800 on hawkish Fed Minutes, eyes on ECB succession

The EUR/USD pair tumbles to a near two-week low around 1.1785 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro on hawkish FOMC minutes that revived speculation about potential interest rate hikes if inflation remains elevated. 

GBP/USD extends decline as weak jobs data bolsters BoE rate cut bets

The Pound Sterling continued to backslide under sustained pressure on Wednesday, following through after the UK employment report on Tuesday showed a labour market deteriorating faster than expected. 

Gold yearns for acceptance above the $5,000 mark

Gold preserves 2% advance seen on Wednesday as buyers gather pace early Thursday. The US Dollar holds January Fed Minutes-led gains ahead of more US macro data. Gold needs a sustained break above the key $5,000 barrier; daily RSI stays bullish.

Bitcoin approaches a critical zone: Bear pennant projects $56,000

Based on the most recent analyses from February 2026, the short answer is that it is highly unlikely that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 this month.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.