|

AUD/USD remains confined in a range, around 0.7400 post-Chinese macro data

  • AUD/USD witnessed a subdued/range-bound price action on the first day of the week.
  • A cautious mood in the equity markets acted as a headwind for the perceived riskier aussie.
  • Mostly disappointing Chinese macro data did little to impress bulls or provide any impetus.

The AUD/USD pair extended its sideways consolidative price action and remained confined in a narrow trading band, around the 0.7400 mark post-Chinese data dump.

The pair struggled to capitalize on its early uptick back closer to over one-month tops touched on Friday and witnessed a modest pullback from the 0.7435 region on the first day of a new week. The prevalent cautious mood around the equity markets was seen as a key factor that acted as a headwind for the perceived riskier aussie amid a subdued US dollar price action.

This, along with weaker than expected Chinese macro releases, collaborated to cap the upside for the China-proxy Australian dollar. The National Bureau of Statistics of China reported this Monday that the economic growth in the world's second-largest economy decelerated to 0.2% and 4.9% YoY rate during the third quarter, as against the previous quarter's 1.3% and 7.9%, respectively.

Adding to this, China's Industrial Production also fell short of market expectations and increased by a 3.1% YoY rate in September, down from 5.3%. This, to a larger extent, offset a better than expected monthly Retail Sales figures, which recorded a growth of 4.4% in September. This comes amid fears of a faster than expected rise in inflation and added to worries about stagflation.

That said, the market reaction, so far, has been limited and warrants some caution for aggressive traders. The recent widespread rally in commodity prices turned out to be a key factor that continued lending some support to the resources-linked aussie. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through selling before confirming that the AUD/USD pair has topped out in the near term.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7412
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open0.7418
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7292
Daily SMA500.7307
Daily SMA1000.7413
Daily SMA2000.757
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7441
Previous Daily Low0.7403
Previous Weekly High0.7441
Previous Weekly Low0.7291
Previous Monthly High0.7478
Previous Monthly Low0.717
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7426
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7418
Daily Pivot Point S10.7401
Daily Pivot Point S20.7383
Daily Pivot Point S30.7363
Daily Pivot Point R10.7439
Daily Pivot Point R20.7459
Daily Pivot Point R30.7477

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.