|

AUD/USD refreshes 2021 low to drop further towards 0.7100 despite PBOC inaction

  • AUD/USD takes offers after PBOC status-quo, on the way to post biggest weekly loss in 11 months.
  • PBOC keeps one-year and five-year LPR unchanged, as expected.
  • Sluggish market sentiment, due to vaccine optimism jostling with Delta covid variant fears, challenges momentum traders.
  • Qualitative factors are the key amid a light calendar going forward.

AUD/USD drops to a fresh low since November 2020, down 0.16% intraday around 0.7130, even as the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) matched wide marked forecasts to keep the benchmark rate unchanged during early Friday.

The PBOC kept its one-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) unchanged at 3.85% for the 16th straight month at its August fixing on Friday. The Chinese central bank also left the five-year LPR untouched at 4.65%. Despite the PBOC status-quo, sour sentiment seems to drag the AUD/USD to the fresh multi-day low. 

Read: PBOC 1&5 year loan prime rates left unchanged, as expected

Earlier in the day, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policymaker Christopher Kent crossed wires, via Reuters, but said nothing relating to the monetary policy. On the contary, the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) pushed back RBA rate hikes by six months and weighed on teh AUD/USD prices.

Talking about virus, after refreshing the record daily infections to 758 the previous day, Australian infections for Thursday eased to near 700 figures of late. However, New Zealand’s covid cases are spreading outside Auckland as Wellington marked two new daily infections today. Elsewhere, the UK reports a multi-day high death toll and the US numbers are also worrisome. Additionally, China reports the easing of cases to 33 versus 46 marked on Thursday.

However, the UK’s push for vaccinating 12–17 years old and the American rush for booster shots joins the Western leaders’ readiness to help the struggling Asia–Pacific nations with vaccines portray vaccine optimism and challenge the risk-off mood.

On Thursday, the US Dollar Index (DXY) jumped to the yearly high on downbeat market sentiment and a fourth straight weekly drop in jobless claims, to the pre-pandemic low. That said, the greenback gauge currently eases to 93.50, down 0.05% intraday.

It’s worth mentioning that the US 10-year Treasury yields and S&P 500 Futures remain pressured, down 0.11% and one basis point respectively, at the latest.

Considering a lack of major data/events, AUD/USD traders should keep their eyes on the risk catalysts for fresh impulse.

Technical analysis

A clear downside break of a four-month-old descending support line, around 0.7220, gradually directs AUD/USD bears to June 2020 peak surrounding 0.7060.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6815
Today Daily Change-0.0028
Today Daily Change %-0.41%
Today daily open0.6843
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6986
Daily SMA500.7001
Daily SMA1000.7093
Daily SMA2000.7112
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6898
Previous Daily Low0.6808
Previous Weekly High0.7063
Previous Weekly Low0.6969
Previous Monthly High0.7106
Previous Monthly Low0.6881
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6842
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6864
Daily Pivot Point S10.6801
Daily Pivot Point S20.676
Daily Pivot Point S30.6711
Daily Pivot Point R10.6891
Daily Pivot Point R20.694
Daily Pivot Point R30.6981

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases to near 1.1650, eyes US PCE for fresh impetus

EUR/USD turns south to test 1.1650 in European trading on Friday, facing rejection once again near seven-week highs. The pair, however, continues to draw support from persistent US Dollar selling bias, despite a cautious market mood. Traders now await the US September PCE inflation and UoM Consumer Sentiment data. 

GBP/USD holds gains near 1.3350 ahead of US data

GBP/USD sticks to a positive bias near 1.3350 in the European session on Friday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation and sentiment data due later in the day. In the meantime, broad-based US Dollar weakness helps the pair stay afloat. 

Gold remains below $4,250 barrier as traders await US PCE data for directional impetus

Gold gains some positive traction on Friday, though it remains confined in the weekly range. Dovish Fed expectations continue to undermine the USD and lend support to the commodity. Bulls, however, might opt to wait for the US PCE Price Index before placing aggressive bets.

Pi Network: Bearish streak nears critical support trendline

Pi Network edges lower on Friday for the third consecutive day, approaching a local support trendline. The on-chain data suggests an increase in supply pressure as Centralized Exchanges experience a surge in inflows. Technically, the pullback in PI risks further losses, as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator is flashing a sell signal. 

Canada Unemployment Rate expected to edge higher in November ahead of BoC rate decision

Statistics Canada will release its Labour Force Survey on Friday, and markets are bracing for a weak print. The Unemployment Rate is expected to tick higher to 7% in November, while the Employment Change is forecast to come in flat after a nice gain in October.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Bearish streak nears critical support trendline

Pi Network (PI) edges lower on Friday for the third consecutive day, approaching a local support trendline. The on-chain data suggests an increase in supply pressure as Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) experience a surge in inflows.