AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bounces towards 0.7250 despite firmer US dollar

AUD/USD licks its wound after hitting six-week lows on Friday.
Renewed covid woes-led risk-aversion boosts the US dollar at aussie’s expense.
The aussie tests key support on the daily chart, remains vulnerable.

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

AUD/USD is consolidating Friday’s steep losses below 0.7250, licking its wounds amid broad risk-aversion.

The markets remain in a risk-off mode, thanks to the covid resurgence in Europe and worries over the potential curbs to contain the virus. The flight to safety underpins the safe-haven demand for the US dollar while weighing on the higher-yielding aussie.

Further, the rise in the US Treasury yields amid Fed’s hawkish expectations heading into this week's FOMC minutes also adds to the strength of the greenback against its major rivals.

In the day ahead, the covid updates worldwide combined with the US Existing Home Sales data will be eyed for fresh trading impetus.

Looking at AUD/USD’s daily chart, the pair is trying hard to defend the critical daily support line at 0.7225, where the October 6 low lies.

The next critical support is seen at the 0.7200 psychological level.

A sustained break below the latter will fuel a fresh decline towards the end-September lows of 0.7169.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

The 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is recovering from lower levels, currently flatlined around 35.26, suggesting that a minor correction could be in the offing.

For the rebound to pick up pace, the AUD bulls need to recapture 0.7250, above which Friday’s high of 0.7292 could get retested.

The next line of defense for the sellers is seen at 0.7351, where the 100- and 50-Daily Moving Averages (DMA) converge.

AUD/USD: Additional levels to consider

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.724
Today Daily Change	0.0007
Today Daily Change %	0.10
Today daily open	0.7233

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.7397
Daily SMA50	0.7354
Daily SMA100	0.7358
Daily SMA200	0.7534

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.7292
Previous Daily Low	0.7227
Previous Weekly High	0.7371
Previous Weekly Low	0.7227
Previous Monthly High	0.7557
Previous Monthly Low	0.7191
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.7252
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.7267
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.7209
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.7185
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.7144
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.7274
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.7316
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.734

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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