|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bears appear well-set to approach 0.6540 support

  • AUD/USD remains depressed at the lowest levels in four months.
  • Clear downside break of previous support line from February, bearish MACD signals favor Aussie pair sellers.
  • 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, five-month-old horizontal support zone join oversold RSI (14) to challenge bears.
  • AUD/USD recovery remains elusive below 0.6780-85 resistance confluence.

AUD/USD bears keep the reins at a four-month low, making rounds to 0.6580-90 during early Wednesday, following the biggest daily slump in a month.

That said, a clear downside break of a one-month-old descending trend line joins the bearish MACD signals to keep the Aussie sellers in the driver’s seat even if the latest inaction probes the downside momentum. On the same line could be the oversold conditions of the RSI (14) line.

Even so, the AUD/USD prices remain on their way to hitting the next key support area, namely the 0.6540-20 region comprising the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to February 2023 upside and multiple levels marked in the last five months.

It’s worth noting that the Aussie pair’s weakness past 0.6520 could aim for the last September’s low surrounding 0.6360 and may witness multiple supports near 0.6350-40 before highlighting the late 2022 bottom of around 0.6170.

Alternatively, the support-turned-resistance line from early February, close to 0.6630 by the press time, precedes the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6665 to cap the short-term upside of the AUD/USD pair.

Following that, a one-month-old descending resistance line near 0.6720 could lure the pair buyers.

However, a convergence of the 200-DMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, near 0.6780-85, appears a tough nut to crack for the AUD/USD bulls.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6587
Today Daily Change-0.0005
Today Daily Change %-0.08%
Today daily open0.6592
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6828
Daily SMA500.6896
Daily SMA1000.6757
Daily SMA2000.6787
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6748
Previous Daily Low0.6581
Previous Weekly High0.6784
Previous Weekly Low0.6695
Previous Monthly High0.7158
Previous Monthly Low0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6645
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6684
Daily Pivot Point S10.6533
Daily Pivot Point S20.6474
Daily Pivot Point S30.6366
Daily Pivot Point R10.6699
Daily Pivot Point R20.6807
Daily Pivot Point R30.6866

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds range below mid-1.3600s amid Fed risks and Iran tensions

The GBP/USD pair extends its sideways consolidative price move for the second straight day, and trades around the 1.3630 area during the Asian session. The US Dollar is looking to build on its modest recovery from the lowest level since May 14, and is acting as a headwind for the currency pair. The lack of follow-through selling warrants some caution for bearish traders.

EUR/USD gains support amid hawkish ECB expectations, subdued US Dollar

EUR/USD inches higher after posting minor losses in the previous day, trading around 1.1670 during the Asian hours. The pair finds support as rising oil prices, elevated bond yields, and escalating Middle East tensions drive Eurozone inflation concerns. These factors have boosted expectations for a more hawkish stance from the European Central Bank, which is widely anticipated to deliver a 25-basis-point rate hike in September.

$4700 tested as Gold pulls back but bullish potential remains intact
Gold has pulled back sharply from fresh 15-week highs of $4,697, snapping a two-day uptrend in Asia on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) holds onto recovery gains, capping further upside in the bullion.
Bitcoin tops $80,000 as US Treasury fights high yields – AERO, VIRTUAL rally

Bitcoin extends gains above $80,000 as broader market risk-on sentiment persists. The scarce asset could extend its rally as the US Treasury combats high yields in the long-dated bond market, with further interventions on the horizon. Aerodrome Finance (AERO) and Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) emerged as top performers over the last 24 hours.

Will Jackson Hole ignite Gold and Silver’s next explosive breakout?
The 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium arrives at a pivotal moment. The U.S economy faces record debt, elevated borrowing costs, a weaker dollar and renewed momentum across hard assets. For The Gold & Silver Club, the backdrop increasingly validates its early-year call: “2026 will be the Year of Hard Assets.”
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.