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AUD/USD Price Analysis: AUD still looks vulnerable to downside moves

  • AUD/USD is trading around half a percent higher on Monday.
  • The structure of the chart still looks bearish despite the move higher.

AUD/USD 4-hour chart

The 4-hour chart of AUD/USD has been retracing on Monday but there are still some key levels above the current price. It seems the bears could not sustain a move below the psychological 0.70 area as the price popped back up to hit 0.7087. 

Now looking at the chart that level could be slightly sticky if the bulls try to kick on from here. Above this level, the green horizontal line stands at 0.7180. This level looks like a magnet for the price as it has had the most amount of touches and reactions in a short space of time.

The indicators are looking mixed at the moment as the MACD histogram is bullish but the signal lines remain under zero. The Relative Strength Index is pushing away from the oversold area but cannot break past 50. This could be another bearish sign. 

The trend is still very much an uptrend on the daily chart but this move lower does look like the start of a reversal to the downside. The bulls may need to watch some of these levels above the current price as the bears could step in at these points in large numbers. 

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

Additional levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7064
Today Daily Change0.0034
Today Daily Change %0.48
Today daily open0.703
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.725
Daily SMA500.7203
Daily SMA1000.7007
Daily SMA2000.6774
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7087
Previous Daily Low0.7004
Previous Weekly High0.7325
Previous Weekly Low0.7004
Previous Monthly High0.7416
Previous Monthly Low0.7076
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7036
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7055
Daily Pivot Point S10.6994
Daily Pivot Point S20.6958
Daily Pivot Point S30.6912
Daily Pivot Point R10.7077
Daily Pivot Point R20.7123
Daily Pivot Point R30.7159

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

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