|

AUD/USD eases from two-week high, still well bid above 0.6700 as traders await NFP

  • AUD/USD gains some follow-through traction on Friday and touches a two-week high.
  • The USD comes under renewed selling pressure and lends some support to the major.
  • Traders seem reluctant to place fresh bets and keenly await the release of the US NFP.

The AUD/USD pair climbs to a two-week high on Friday, albeit struggles to capitalize on the momentum beyond a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The pair, however, maintains its bid tone through the early European session and trades around the 0.6725-0.6730 region, still up over 0.50% for the day.

A combination of factors prompts fresh selling around the US Dollar, which, in turn, allows the AUD/USD pair to prolong its upward trajectory witnessed since the beginning of the current week. Concerns about the banking sector in the US, along with the Federal Reserve's (Fed) less hawkish outlook, fail to assist the USD to build on the previous day's bounce from over a one-week low.

Investors remain worried about a full-blown US banking crisis and now fear that regional lender PacWest Bancorp could be the next potential domino to fall. The US central bank, meanwhile, outlined a more stringent and data-driven approach to hiking rates further. Moreover, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signalled that the central bank was close to hitting the terminal rate of the current tightening cycle.

Apart from this, concerns over the US debt ceiling, along with a modest recovery in the US equity markets, undermine the safe-haven Greenback and benefit the risk-sensitive Aussie. That said, a further recovery in the US Treasury bond yields helps limit losses for the USD and keeps a lid on the AUD/USD pair ahead of Friday's release of the closely-watched US monthly employment details.

The popularly known Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is due for release later during the early North American session. This will play a key role in influencing the near-term USD price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the AUD/USD pair. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register strong weekly gains and snap a two-week losing streak heading into the key data risk.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6726
Today Daily Change0.0033
Today Daily Change %0.49
Today daily open0.6693
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6677
Daily SMA500.6683
Daily SMA1000.6788
Daily SMA2000.673
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6706
Previous Daily Low0.664
Previous Weekly High0.6706
Previous Weekly Low0.6574
Previous Monthly High0.6806
Previous Monthly Low0.6574
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6681
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6666
Daily Pivot Point S10.6653
Daily Pivot Point S20.6614
Daily Pivot Point S30.6587
Daily Pivot Point R10.6719
Daily Pivot Point R20.6746
Daily Pivot Point R30.6785

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays bid above 1.1700 as risk flows dominate

EUR/USD posts small gains above 1.1700 in early European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar remains broadly subdued amid a risk-on market profile, underpinning the pair. 

GBP/USD clings to recovery gains near 1.3400

GBP/USD is clinging to recovery gains near 1.3400 in early Europe on Monday. The pair capitalizes on an upbeat market mood and a steady US Dollar as traders digest the recent

 monetary policy decisions by the Fed and the BoE.

Gold hits fresh record highs above $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical woes

Gold is hitting fresh record highs above $4,400 early Monday, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.