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AUD/USD drops to fresh daily low, around mid-0.6500s amid modest USD uptick

  • AUD/USD fails to preserve its modest intraday gains amid the emergence of some USD buying.
  • The Fed’s hawkish outlook supports elevated US bond yields and is seen underpinning the buck.
  • A minor pullback in the equity markets further drives flows away from the risk-sensitive Aussie.

The AUD/USD pair continues with its struggle to find acceptance or build on its strength beyond the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and attracts some intraday sellers near the 0.6580 region on Friday. The downfall picks up pace during the first half of the European session and drags spot prices to a fresh daily low, around mid-0.6500s amid a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick.

Against the backdrop of persistent geopolitical tensions stemming from conflicts in the Middle East, fading hopes for early rate cuts by global central banks keep a lid on the recent optimism. This is evident from a minor pullback in the equity markets, which assists the safe-haven USD to gain some positive traction and undermines the risk-sensitive Aussie. The Greenback is further supported by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish outlook, which, in turn, exerts some downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair.

The minutes of the late January FOMC meeting released on Wednesday showed a broad uncertainty about how long borrowing costs should remain at their current level to bring down inflation back to the central bank's 2% target. Adding to this, comments by a slew of influential Fed policymakers suggested that the US central bank is in no hurry to cut interest rates. This remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and allows the USD to recover further from a nearly three-week trough touched on Thursday.

Moving ahead, there isn't any relevant market-moving economic data due for release from the US on Friday, leaving the USD at the mercy of the US bond yields. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment might drive demand for the safe-haven buck and provide some impetus to the AUD/USD pair. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register modest gains for the third straight week, though the lack of follow-through buying warrants some caution for bullish traders and before positioning for any further gains.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6554
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open0.6556
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6536
Daily SMA500.6636
Daily SMA1000.6552
Daily SMA2000.6564
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6595
Previous Daily Low0.654
Previous Weekly High0.6545
Previous Weekly Low0.6443
Previous Monthly High0.6839
Previous Monthly Low0.6525
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6574
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6561
Daily Pivot Point S10.6532
Daily Pivot Point S20.6509
Daily Pivot Point S30.6477
Daily Pivot Point R10.6587
Daily Pivot Point R20.6618
Daily Pivot Point R30.6642

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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