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AUD/USD drops below 0.7100 amid risk aversion

  • AUD/USD extends correction into second straight day on Friday.
  • US Dollar Index struggles to stage a meaningful recovery.
  • Focus shifts to flash Manufacturing and Services PMI data from the US. 

The AUD/USD pair lost more 40 pips and closed below 0.7100 on Thursday. With the escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and China, the pair remained under pressure during the first half of the day on Friday and dropped to a daily low of 0.7071. As of writing, the pair was down 0.28% on a daily basis at 0.7077.

US-China tensions weigh on AUD

As a retaliation to the US' decision to shut down China's consulate in Houston, China announced that it closed the US consulate in Chengdu, heightening fears over a US-China cold war. Reflecting the flight to safety, major Asian equity indexes suffered heavy losses and European stocks are losing more than 1%. 

Meanwhile, the Commonwealth Bank's Manufacturing and Services PMI data improved to 53.4 and 58.5, respectively, in July but failed to provide a boost to the risk-sensitive AUD.

In the second half of the day, the IHS Markit will release the Services and Manufacturing PMI data from the US. Ahead of these data, the US Dollar Index is down 0.05% on the day at 94.73 as the greenback struggles to capitalize on risk-off flows amid slumping Treasury bond yields.

Even if Wall Street's main indexes stay under bearish pressure on Friday, the USD could have a difficult time finding demand until T-bond yields stage a decisive rebound and help the pair limit its losses.

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.708
Today Daily Change-0.0018
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open0.7098
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6975
Daily SMA500.686
Daily SMA1000.6568
Daily SMA2000.6689
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7162
Previous Daily Low0.709
Previous Weekly High0.7038
Previous Weekly Low0.6921
Previous Monthly High0.7065
Previous Monthly Low0.6648
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7117
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7134
Daily Pivot Point S10.7071
Daily Pivot Point S20.7044
Daily Pivot Point S30.6999
Daily Pivot Point R10.7144
Daily Pivot Point R20.7189
Daily Pivot Point R30.7216

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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