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AUD/USD consolidates daily gains near 0.6870 following rally on jobs data

  • Unemployment Rate in Australia dropped to 5.1% in December. 
  • Modest decline in Fulltime Employment capped AUD's gains. 
  • US Dollar Index stays flat near mid-97s on Thursday.

After closing the previous two days with modest losses, the AUD/USD pair gained traction during the Asian trading hours and advances to a daily high of 0.6880 before going into a consolidation phase during the European session. As of writing, the pair was up 0.35% on the day at 0.6868.

AUD capitalizes on labour market data

The data published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday revealed that the Unemployment Rate in Australia ticked down to 5.1% in December from 5.2% and came in better than the market expectation of 5.2%. Additionally, the Employment Change came in at +28.9K to surpass analysts' estimate of 15K by a wide margin. However, the Fulltime Employment declined 0.3K to cap the pair's upside.

Commenting on the potential impact of the jobs report on the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy outlook, "the strength in employment over November/December and the associated decline in the unemployment rate to 5.1% at the end of the year from 5.3% in October will reinforce the RBA’s view that the Australian economy appears to have reached a gentle turning point,” said ANZ analysts. "Accordingly, we are no longer forecasting a February rate cut. We still think further rate cuts are more likely than not over the course of 2020, however."

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index continues to move sideways around mid-97s to allow the AUD's performance to drive the pair's action. In the second half of the day, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Kansas City Fed's Manufacturing Survey will be looked upon for fresh impetus.

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6869
Today Daily Change0.0026
Today Daily Change %0.38
Today daily open0.6843
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6919
Daily SMA500.687
Daily SMA1000.6844
Daily SMA2000.6882
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6857
Previous Daily Low0.6826
Previous Weekly High0.6935
Previous Weekly Low0.6871
Previous Monthly High0.7033
Previous Monthly Low0.6762
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6838
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6845
Daily Pivot Point S10.6827
Daily Pivot Point S20.6811
Daily Pivot Point S30.6796
Daily Pivot Point R10.6858
Daily Pivot Point R20.6873
Daily Pivot Point R30.6889

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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