AUD/USD clings to modest recovery gains, lacks follow-through


  • AUD/USD lost some additional ground on Wednesday amid escalating US-Iran tensions.
  • A recovery in the global risk sentiment helped ease the bearish pressure, at least for now.
  • Investors now look forward to the US ADP report for some short-term trading opportunities.

The AUD/USD pair failed to capitalize on its Asian session recovery move from fresh three-week lows and remained well below the 0.6900 round-figure mark.

The pair added to the previous session's heavy losses and lost some additional ground during the early part of Wednesday's trading action on the back of the latest escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Geopolitical tensions might cap the upside

Iran – in retaliation to the US drone strike last week – fired more than a dozen ballistic missiles on US-led forces in Iraq. This triggered a fresh wave of the global risk-aversion and weighed on perceived riskier currencies – like the Aussie.

The pair dropped to mid-0.6800s – the lowest level since December 19 – but managed to find some support in reaction to the US President Donald Trump’s refrained response to the strikes, which helped ease market concerns.

Adding to this, Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif also said that the strike against US forces was “proportionate” and in “self-defense”. He further added that Iran does not seek an escalation of war and led to a modest recovery in the risk sentiment.

Despite the calm, markets are still leaning more towards a defensive posture and the same was evident from the prevalent bid tone surrounding traditional safe-haven assets, which eventually kept a lid on any further recovery for the major.

As investors keep a close eye on geopolitical developments, Wednesday's release of the US ADP report on private-sector employment might influence the US dollar price dynamics and will be looked upon for some short-term trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6871
Today Daily Change 0.0003
Today Daily Change % 0.04
Today daily open 0.6868
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6925
Daily SMA50 0.687
Daily SMA100 0.683
Daily SMA200 0.6897
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6944
Previous Daily Low 0.6858
Previous Weekly High 0.7043
Previous Weekly Low 0.693
Previous Monthly High 0.7033
Previous Monthly Low 0.6762
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6891
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6911
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6836
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6805
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6751
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6922
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6976
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7007

 

 

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