|

AUD/USD: Bulls bail-out and Chinese data miss will not be supportive going forward

  • Chinese Caixin comes in at 49.5 vs expected 50.1.
  • AUD/USD moved into negative territory ahead of the Chinese data. 

AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.6997, pretty much flat on the sessions so far. The initial gap was sold heavily into in jittery market conditions over mixed opinions on the widely expected ceasefire in trade wars between Washington and Bejing.

The Chinese data just released has not been a catalyst, so far, but is definitely a concern and could be picked up in markets in Europe and the US, if not later on in the Asian session. 

The PMI has not picked up on the hints of progress that were circulating prior to the trade war meeting that took place between Xi and Trump on the sidelines of the G20 but the dampened economic damage from current tariffs and slowing activity are likely playing their part in the downside of the data that is now back into contraction territory. 

AUD/USD levels

Analysts at Commerzbank argued that AUD/USD’s outlook is near term positive:

"The rally has reached the 55 day ma, and will shortly encounter the June peak and the April peak at .7069. We would allow this to hold the initial test. Very near term we note the 13 count on the 60 minute chart and will tighten stops. Further up resistance can be spotted at the .7207 February high. A rise above the .7207 late February high would target the December 2018 high at .7394."

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD treads water above 1.1850 amid thin trading

EUR/USD stays defensive but holds 1.1850 amid quiet markets in the European hours on Monday.  The US Dollar is struggling for direction due to thin liquidity conditions as US markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day. 

GBP/USD flat lines as traders await key UK and US macro data

GBP/USD kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range near 1.365 in Monday's European trading. The mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important releases from the UK and the US.

Gold sticks to intraday losses; lacks follow-through

Gold remains depressed through the early European session on Monday, though it has managed to rebound from the daily trough and currently trades around the $5,000 psychological mark. Moreover, a combination of supporting factors warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders, and before positioning for deeper losses.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate within key ranges as selling pressure eases

Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have been trading sideways within key ranges following the massive correction. Meanwhile, XRP recovers slightly, breaking above the key resistance zone. The top three cryptocurrencies hint at a potential short-term recovery, with momentum indicators showing fading bearish signs.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.