|

AUD/USD breaks below 0.7900, fresh daily lows

  • Aussie Dollar gives away initial gains, drops to sub-0.79 area.
  • RBA minutes left no room for surprises in early trade.
  • AU wage data next of relevance on Wednesday.

After advancing to the area of 0.7930 during the Asian trading hours, AUD/USD met a wave of selling orders that forced it to not only give away those initial gains but also to retreat to the sub-0.7900 region, or fresh session lows.

AUD/USD now looks to wage data

Spot paid little-to-nil attention to the RBA minutes released earlier today, as they left no room for surprises, coming in well in line with initial market expectations and noting once again that the labour market, business conditions, activity overseas and commodity prices have all been performing above the central bank’s expectations.

In addition the RBA seems to have now shifted its interest from the exchange rate – view that prevailed in the last couple of years – to the labour market, with wages in the centre of the debate.

In the meantime, the pair is now navigating the negative territory in the 0.7900 neighbourhood, around a cent lower than last week’s peaks in the boundaries of the psychological 0.80 mark and down nearly 3% since 2018 tops in the mid-0.8100s recorded in late January.

Furthermore from the speculative community, AUD net longs dropped to 5-week lows during the week ended on February 13, according to the latest CFTC report.

Looking ahead, and in light of the recent message from the RBA, Wage Price Index for the fourth quarter is due tomorrow, seconded by Construction Work Done during the same period.

AUD/USD levels to watch

At the moment the pair is losing 0.25% at 0.7893 and a breakdown of 0.7882 (low Feb.20) would open the door to 0.7839 (55-day sma) and finally 0.7759 (2018 low Feb.9). On the other hand, the next resistance aligns at 0.7946 (21-day sma) seconded by 0.7991 (high Feb.16) and then 0.8136 (2018 high Jan.26).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD tests 1.3450 support after moving below nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3460 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a weakening of a bullish bias as the pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

Gold jumps on US rate cut prospects, safe-haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Gold's price has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979. The rally in the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).