|

USD/CHF declines as soft US data and bearish technicals weigh on pair

  • USD/CHF drifts lower as soft US jobless claims data caps Dollar recovery after strong NFP.
  • Technical bias remains bearish, with RSI aligned to signal sustained downside momentum.
  • A break below 0.7600 exposes 0.7550 and 0.7500, while rebounds face resistance near 0.7780.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) continued to appreciate against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, following a slightly soft US jobs report overshadowed by Wednesday’s Nonfarm Payrolls print. Despite this, the Greenback has failed to rally and USD/CHF trades at 0.7700, down 0.22%.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The technical picture shows USD/CHF is downward biased, with momentum in sync as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

Although USD/CHF bottomed out at around 0.7600 and recovered towards 0.7800, the pair has already registered a lower high, paving the way for further downside. Since peaking, the pair edged towards 0.7627 before resuming its upward trend and for the last three trading days, it has consolidated within 0.7600-0.7700.

For a bearish continuation, sellers must clear 0.7600, which could open the door for further downside. The first key support level would be 0.7550, followed by 0.7500.

Conversely, if USD/CHF surpasses 0.7700, the first resistance would be the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.7780. A breach of the latter will expose 0.7800, followed by the December 24 daily low turned resistance at 0.7861. Up next lies 0.7900.

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.02%-0.01%-0.21%0.27%0.40%0.19%-0.23%
EUR-0.02%-0.03%-0.22%0.25%0.37%0.17%-0.25%
GBP0.01%0.03%-0.19%0.29%0.41%0.20%-0.22%
JPY0.21%0.22%0.19%0.47%0.60%0.36%-0.02%
CAD-0.27%-0.25%-0.29%-0.47%0.13%-0.09%-0.50%
AUD-0.40%-0.37%-0.41%-0.60%-0.13%-0.20%-0.62%
NZD-0.19%-0.17%-0.20%-0.36%0.09%0.20%-0.42%
CHF0.23%0.25%0.22%0.02%0.50%0.62%0.42%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Gains remain capped by $4,400

Gold regains composure and trades with decent gains on Friday, managing to refocus attention on the $4,440 mark per ounce troy. Therefore, the precious metal reverses Thursday’s decline as the US Dollar alternates gains with losses at the end of the week.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends decline as returning ETF inflows fail to lift outlook
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Weekly focus – The hawks set the tone
Risky assets came under pressure this week as energy prices kept creeping higher and the ECB surprised the markets with a hawkish tone. The price of Brent crude touched USD 110 per barrel on Thursday night, highest since mid-May, as news emerged that the Yemeni Houthis had reached control of key port cities and islands near the Bab el-Mandeb strait.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.