|

USD/CHF declines as soft US data and bearish technicals weigh on pair

  • USD/CHF drifts lower as soft US jobless claims data caps Dollar recovery after strong NFP.
  • Technical bias remains bearish, with RSI aligned to signal sustained downside momentum.
  • A break below 0.7600 exposes 0.7550 and 0.7500, while rebounds face resistance near 0.7780.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) continued to appreciate against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, following a slightly soft US jobs report overshadowed by Wednesday’s Nonfarm Payrolls print. Despite this, the Greenback has failed to rally and USD/CHF trades at 0.7700, down 0.22%.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The technical picture shows USD/CHF is downward biased, with momentum in sync as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

Although USD/CHF bottomed out at around 0.7600 and recovered towards 0.7800, the pair has already registered a lower high, paving the way for further downside. Since peaking, the pair edged towards 0.7627 before resuming its upward trend and for the last three trading days, it has consolidated within 0.7600-0.7700.

For a bearish continuation, sellers must clear 0.7600, which could open the door for further downside. The first key support level would be 0.7550, followed by 0.7500.

Conversely, if USD/CHF surpasses 0.7700, the first resistance would be the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.7780. A breach of the latter will expose 0.7800, followed by the December 24 daily low turned resistance at 0.7861. Up next lies 0.7900.

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.02%-0.01%-0.21%0.27%0.40%0.19%-0.23%
EUR-0.02%-0.03%-0.22%0.25%0.37%0.17%-0.25%
GBP0.01%0.03%-0.19%0.29%0.41%0.20%-0.22%
JPY0.21%0.22%0.19%0.47%0.60%0.36%-0.02%
CAD-0.27%-0.25%-0.29%-0.47%0.13%-0.09%-0.50%
AUD-0.40%-0.37%-0.41%-0.60%-0.13%-0.20%-0.62%
NZD-0.19%-0.17%-0.20%-0.36%0.09%0.20%-0.42%
CHF0.23%0.25%0.22%0.02%0.50%0.62%0.42%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds below 1.3400 after BoE decision, US Q2 GDP

GBP/USD peaked just above 1.3400 following the BoE's announcement. The Bank of England decided to maintain the benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75%. The MPC voted 6-3 to keep rates on hold, with the 3 dissenters favoring a rate hike. US Q2 GDP missing expectations helps maintain the pair afloat, although momentum is missing.

EUR/USD resumes advance following tepid US growth data

EUR/USD trimmed early losses and aims north in the American session on Thursday, helped by better-than-expected German and Eurozone GDP data and lower-than-anticipated US growth, according to the preliminary estimate of Q2 Gross Domestic Product. The economy expanded at an annual rate of 1.5% vs the 2.1% anticipated by market participants.

Gold stable below $4,100 as USD demand fades

Gold hovers around its daily open in the American session on Thursday, trimming early losses. The Greenback enjoyed some near-term demand following Wednesday's post-FOMC downfall, but was unable to retain its gains. The preliminary estimate of the US Q2 GDP showed the economy grew n annual rate of 1.5%, missing market's expectations of 2.1%

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP builds recovery momentum as whales increase exposure
Ripple (XRP) rises toward the pivotal $1.10 resistance on Thursday, marking three consecutive days of gains. This neutral-to-slightly bullish outlook follows the Federal Reserve (Fed) decision to leave interest rates unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range.
The FOMC: Rates left on hold; dollar falls as Warsh fails to vote for hike
The Fed kept interest rates on hold today, defying a 30% chance in the Fed Funds Futures market that rates would rise. The Committee voted 9-3 to keep rates on hold, with governors Kashkari, Hammack and Logan all voting to hike rates due to concerns about inflation. The immediate market reaction has been a sharp drop in the USD on a broad basis.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.