|

AUD/USD bounces off lows, turns neutral on China's trade-related comments

  • Disappointing Aussie macro data continues exerting some downward pressure.
  • The USD gains some follow-through traction despite the US yield curve inversion.
  • Optimistic trade-related remarks from China provided a minor boost in the last hour.

The AUD/USD pair quickly recovered around 15-pips in the last hour and is currently placed in the neutral territory, around the 0.6730-35 region.
 
The pair extended this week's rejection slide from the vicinity of the 0.6800 handle and lost some additional ground on Thursday following the disappointing release of Australian private sector business investment data, showing capital expenditure fell 0.5% in three months to June.
 
The pair touched to an intraday low level of 0.6717 in reaction to dismal data and was further pressurized by a modest US Dollar uptick, which gained some follow-through traction through the early European session on Thursday despite the recent inversion of the US bond yield curve.

China’s trade remarks provided a minor lift

The pair, however, managed to attract some buying at lower levels and the latest leg of a sudden pickup came after the Chinese Commerce Ministry spokesman Gao's comments on the US-China trade spat, showing willing to resolve the issue via a calm attitude.

Adding to the optimistic comments, the spokesman hoped that the US cancels planned additional tariffs to avoid an escalation in the trade war and provided a modest lift to the China-proxy Australian Dollar, albeit bulls lacked any strong conviction ahead of Thursday's important US macro data.
 
The US economic docket highlights the release of revised US Q2 GDP growth figures, due later during the early North-American session, which might influence the USD price dynamics and contribute towards producing some meaningful trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6728
Today Daily Change-0.0005
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open0.6733
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.677
Daily SMA500.6894
Daily SMA1000.6941
Daily SMA2000.7041
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6763
Previous Daily Low0.6731
Previous Weekly High0.68
Previous Weekly Low0.6736
Previous Monthly High0.7082
Previous Monthly Low0.6832
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6743
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6751
Daily Pivot Point S10.6722
Daily Pivot Point S20.6711
Daily Pivot Point S30.669
Daily Pivot Point R10.6753
Daily Pivot Point R20.6774
Daily Pivot Point R30.6785

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).