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AUD/NZD sticks to intraday gains above mid-1.0700s post-Australian CPI report

  • AUD/NZD gains some positive traction and stages a modest recovery from a multi-week low.
  • Spot prices move little following the release of the latest Australian consumer inflation figures.
  • The recent breakdown and acceptance below the crucial 200-day SMA favour bearish traders.

The AUD/NZD cross attracts fresh buying near the 1.0745-1.0740 area during the Asian session on Wednesday and sticks to its modest gains following the release of the latest Australian consumer inflation figures. Spot prices, however, lack bullish conviction and currently trade just above the mid-1.0700s.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) gets a minor lift after the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that the headline CPI accelerated from 4.9% to 5.2% during the 12 months leading up to August 2023. The data reaffirms expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) cash rate will peak around 4.55% in the first quarter of 2024, higher than the current 4.10%, and assists the AUD/NZD cross to regain some positive traction.

That said, the lack of any follow-through buying warrants some caution before positioning for any further intraday appreciating move. Investors remain concerned about the worsening economic conditions in China. This, along with persistent worries over a real estate crisis in the world's second-largest economy, holds back traders from placing aggressive directional bets around the antipodean currencies and caps the AUD/NZD cross.

Furthermore, the recent breakdown and acceptance below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) suggest that the path of least hurdle for the AUD/NZD cross is to the downside. Hence, any subsequent move up might still be seen as a selling opportunity and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/NZD

Overview
Today last price1.0757
Today Daily Change-0.0005
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1.0762
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0853
Daily SMA501.0838
Daily SMA1001.0832
Daily SMA2001.0823
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.077
Previous Daily Low1.0744
Previous Weekly High1.0912
Previous Weekly Low1.0789
Previous Monthly High1.0897
Previous Monthly Low1.0732
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0754
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.076
Daily Pivot Point S11.0747
Daily Pivot Point S21.0732
Daily Pivot Point S31.0721
Daily Pivot Point R11.0773
Daily Pivot Point R21.0785
Daily Pivot Point R31.0799

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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