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AUD/NZD slides to 200-HMA in a solid correction following negative trade headlines

  • Trade war headlines rock the apple cart and weigh on the Aussie.
  • AUD/NZD drops to 200-hour moving average with eyes on a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.

AUD/NZD has been weeker into month-end, falling from the 1.08 handle to 1.0740 and meting the 200-hour moving average which has acted as a robust level of support. Overnight, trade headlines soured the mood and weighed on the Australian Dollar. Headlines stated that Chinese officials were casting doubts over reaching a comprehensive long-term trade deal with the US. Chilean President Sebastian Pinera dropped a spanner into the works when he announced Wednesday that the country had cancelled the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit Nov. 16-17. 

Trade war headlines turning sour again

The consensus was that Trump and Xi-Jinping would still ink a deal together, at some stage and somewhere, but today's feelings have shifted somewhat. Bloomberg reported, citing “Chinese officials”, that US-China trade negotiations beyond Phase 1 were unlikely to progress without current tariffs being removed, making for a risk-off month-end – Also, weaker China ISM added to the sense of unease and consequently,  AUD/USD slipped from 0.6920 to 0.6890 and the cross has bared some of the brunt of it.

What makes matters worse, is that, fo far, and as reported by Bloomberg, "U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and his team, which declined to comment, have been adamant that the duties on $250 billion in Chinese goods -- imposed early in the trade war -- be maintained over the long term as a way to enforce any commitments China makes."

AUD/NZD levels

The bears are in the driving seat at this juncture and a break of the 200-HMA opens risk towards a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.0725. On the upside, 1.0790 guards the recent tops in the 1.0820s.

AUD/NZD

Overview
Today last price1.074
Today Daily Change-0.0065
Today Daily Change %-0.60
Today daily open1.0805
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0726
Daily SMA501.0714
Daily SMA1001.0595
Daily SMA2001.0549
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0827
Previous Daily Low1.0772
Previous Weekly High1.075
Previous Weekly Low1.0658
Previous Monthly High1.0852
Previous Monthly Low1.063
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0806
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0793
Daily Pivot Point S11.0776
Daily Pivot Point S21.0746
Daily Pivot Point S31.0721
Daily Pivot Point R11.083
Daily Pivot Point R21.0856
Daily Pivot Point R31.0885

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

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