|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Portrays head-and-shoulders bearish pattern on softer Australia data

  • AUD/JPY drops 50 pips as Australia inflation, employment numbers disappoint Aussie buyers.
  • Looming bear cross on MACD adds strength to the downside bias.
  • 100-EMA, 200-EMA challenge bears before directing them to monthly low.

AUD/JPY lures sellers with an interesting head-and-shoulders bearish chart pattern following the downbeat prints of Australia’s inflation and employment numbers during early Thursday. That said, the cross-currency pair dropped nearly 50 pips to refresh an intraday low of around 92.00 by the press time.

Also read: AUD/USD plummets below 0.6900 on downbeat Aussie inflation, employment data

Not only the weekly bearish chart formation but the looming bear cross on the MACD also highlights the pair’s importance for the sellers.

However, a clear downside break of the stated pattern’s neckline, around 91.95 by the press time becomes necessary to confirm the theoretical south-run towards the 90.70 levels.

It should be noted that the 100 and 200-bar Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) could challenge the AUD/JPY bears around 92.00 and 91.75 respectively while the monthly low surrounding 90.20 and the 90.00 round figure may please the sellers past the theoretical target.

Alternatively, recovery moves remain elusive unless the quote remains below the recent swing high of 92.67.

Even so, the monthly peak of 93.06 and the mid-December 2022 swing high of 93.35 could probe the AUD/JPY bulls.

In a case where the AUD/JPY price remains firmer past 93.35, the 94.00 round figure and October 2022 high near 95.75 will be in the spotlight.

AUD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price92.01
Today Daily Change-0.63
Today Daily Change %-0.68%
Today daily open92.64
 
Trends
Daily SMA2091.55
Daily SMA5090.88
Daily SMA10092.19
Daily SMA20093.03
 
Levels
Previous Daily High93.06
Previous Daily Low91.92
Previous Weekly High91.96
Previous Weekly Low90.24
Previous Monthly High92.82
Previous Monthly Low87.41
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%92.36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%92.63
Daily Pivot Point S192.02
Daily Pivot Point S291.4
Daily Pivot Point S390.88
Daily Pivot Point R193.16
Daily Pivot Point R293.68
Daily Pivot Point R394.3

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims losses and returns to the 1.1750 area

The US Dollar resumed its decline in the American afternoon, helping EUR/USD trim early losses. The pair trades around 1.1750 as market participants gear up for the European Central Bank monetary policy decision and the United States Consumer Price Index.

GBP/USD flirts with 1.3400 after nearing 1.3300

The GBP/USD changed course after dipping with UK inflation data, and trades near the 1.3400 mark, as investors expect the Bank of England to deliver a 25 basis points interest rate cut after the two-day meeting on Thursday.

Gold maintains its positive momentum, trades around $4,330

The XAU/USD pair gained on a deteriorated market mood, trading near its weekly highs near $4,340. The bright metal advances with caution as market players await first-tier events in Europe and hte United States.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.