|

AUD/JPY declines following CPI data from Japan

  • The AUD/JPY is trading at 98.49, recording a 0.10% daily decline in Tuesday's session.
  • The Japanese Yen is strengthening, propelled by an unexpected surge in Japan's January CPI data.
  • Speculations of a shift in the Bank of Japan's hawkish policy are emerging, although disinflationary pressures persist.

The AUD/JPY pair is trading at 98.49, a minor 0.10% drop in Tuesday's session. This slight decline is observed amid the strengthening of the Japanese Yen, attributed to the surge in Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) during January.

In that sense, Japan's latest national CPI figures for January indicated a slight increase above expectations. The headline inflation rate was reported to have risen by 2.2% (YoY), against a forecast of 1.9%, and down from 2.6% in December. The core inflation rate, which excludes fresh food, was recorded at 2.0% YoY, meeting the expectations of 1.9% and a decrease from 2.3% in the previous month. Following the figures, both the JPY and the yields on Japanese Government Bonds (JGB) experienced an uptick, with the 2-year yield reaching its highest point since 2011 as markets renewed their hopes on a sooner liftoff of the Japanese banking authority. However, it's worth mentioning, that inflation is still trending downward, suggesting the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has room to maintain a cautious approach towards policy normalization. As for now, markets are gearing up for a liftoff in June, but the bank may delay it further.

AUD/JPY technical analysis

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) predominantly roams in positive territory, emphasizing a fair control of buyers over the market's direction. Despite some of its negative slope, the pair maintains its foothold in the positive zone, signaling that the bulls are still in charge.

Simultaneously, decreasing green bars on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram denotes a decline in positive momentum. Buyers, though active, are gradually losing ground, encouraging caution on the part of the bulls. However, the pair is still above its main Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) of 20,100, and 200 days, which suggests that the overall trend is still bullish, and the mentioned downward movements could be considered as a consolidation.
 

AUD/JPY daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.