|

ASX 200 finishes lower at 7,770, drags down by lower energy and commodities stocks

  • ASX 200 Index lost ground, following losses in energy and consumer stocks.
  • The shutdown of South32's GEMCO led to Jupiter Mines' share rallying almost 20% in the last two sessions.
  • Apple's stock declined by 4.1% following news of a lawsuit from the US Department of Justice for alleged monopolistic practices.

The ASX 200 Index closed lower to near 7,770, down by approximately 0.15% on Friday, snapping its winning streak that began on March 15. The index's downturn was primarily attributed to losses in energy and consumer stocks. The A-VIX has experienced a sharp decline, dropping by 0.92% to 12.92. The All Ordinaries Index is down by 0.32%, currently at 8,019.

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained interest rates at a 12-year high of 4.35% on Tuesday, consistent with its stance for the third consecutive meeting. RBA's hawkish stance could have impacted the Australian equity market.

In the ASX 200 Index, Genesis Minerals experienced a significant decline, plunging to 1.792, marking a decrease of 7.45%. Telix Pharmaceuticals dropped to 12.620, down by 4.97%. On the positive side, Fisher & Paykel Healthcare showed strong performance, trading near 23.560, with an increase of 5.0%. Additionally, Light & Wonder rose to 165.02, up by 2.30%.

However, Wall Street experienced upward momentum overnight, with all three major benchmarks setting record highs. This surge followed positive sentiment from the US Federal Reserve (Fed), reaffirming its outlook for three interest rate cuts this year in its latest policy decision.

The surge was somewhat tempered by a 4.1% decline in Apple stock, as the company faces a lawsuit from the US Department of Justice for alleged monopolistic practices. The Justice Department contended that Apple makes it challenging for competitors to integrate with the iPhone's hardware and software features.

South32's Groote Eylandt Mining Company (GEMCO) has halted operations due to Cyclone Megan, resulting in the disruption of approximately 10% of the global manganese supply. For the fiscal year 2024, prior guidance indicated production of 1.7 million tonnes from GEMCO. The supply disruption could lead to a tighter manganese market in the short term.

The shutdown of GEMCO has had a positive impact on Jupiter Mines, the largest ASX-listed manganese producer, with its share rallying almost 20% in the last two sessions. This surge has lifted the company's 12-month performance to break even. Jupiter Mines aims to increase production by 300% over the next five years.

Altech Batteries has disclosed favorable outcomes from a definitive feasibility study (DFS) for its Cerenergy sodium chloride solid-state battery project in Germany. The project, slated for construction on Altech's land at the Schwarze Pumpe Industrial Park in Saxony, is anticipated to establish a new benchmark in sustainable energy solutions. It is projected to have an annual capacity of 120 1MWh grid packs.

RBA FAQs

What is the Reserve Bank of Australia and how does it influence the Australian Dollar?

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for Australia. Decisions are made by a board of governors at 11 meetings a year and ad hoc emergency meetings as required. The RBA’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means an inflation rate of 2-3%, but also “..to contribute to the stability of the currency, full employment, and the economic prosperity and welfare of the Australian people.” Its main tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high-interest rates will strengthen the Australian Dollar (AUD) and vice versa. Other RBA tools include quantitative easing and tightening.

How does inflation data impact the value of the Australian Dollar?

While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for currencies since it lowers the value of money in general, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Moderately higher inflation now tends to lead central banks to put up their interest rates, which in turn has the effect of attracting more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in the case of Australia is the Aussie Dollar.

How does economic data influence the value of the Australian Dollar?

Macroeconomic data gauges the health of an economy and can have an impact on the value of its currency. Investors prefer to invest their capital in economies that are safe and growing rather than precarious and shrinking. Greater capital inflows increase the aggregate demand and value of the domestic currency. Classic indicators, such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can influence AUD. A strong economy may encourage the Reserve Bank of Australia to put up interest rates, also supporting AUD.

What is Quantitative Easing (QE) and how does it affect the Australian Dollar?

Quantitative Easing (QE) is a tool used in extreme situations when lowering interest rates is not enough to restore the flow of credit in the economy. QE is the process by which the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) prints Australian Dollars (AUD) to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from financial institutions, thereby providing them with much-needed liquidity. QE usually results in a weaker AUD.

What is Quantitative tightening (QT) and how does it affect the Australian Dollar?

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the RBA stops buying more assets, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It would be positive (or bullish) for the Australian Dollar.

RBA FAQs

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for Australia. Decisions are made by a board of governors at 11 meetings a year and ad hoc emergency meetings as required. The RBA’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means an inflation rate of 2-3%, but also “..to contribute to the stability of the currency, full employment, and the economic prosperity and welfare of the Australian people.” Its main tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will strengthen the Australian Dollar (AUD) and vice versa. Other RBA tools include quantitative easing and tightening.

While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for currencies since it lowers the value of money in general, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Moderately higher inflation now tends to lead central banks to put up their interest rates, which in turn has the effect of attracting more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in the case of Australia is the Aussie Dollar.

Macroeconomic data gauges the health of an economy and can have an impact on the value of its currency. Investors prefer to invest their capital in economies that are safe and growing rather than precarious and shrinking. Greater capital inflows increase the aggregate demand and value of the domestic currency. Classic indicators, such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can influence AUD. A strong economy may encourage the Reserve Bank of Australia to put up interest rates, also supporting AUD.

Quantitative Easing (QE) is a tool used in extreme situations when lowering interest rates is not enough to restore the flow of credit in the economy. QE is the process by which the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) prints Australian Dollars (AUD) for the purpose of buying assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from financial institutions, thereby providing them with much-needed liquidity. QE usually results in a weaker AUD.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the RBA stops buying more assets, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It would be positive (or bullish) for the Australian Dollar.

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces solid resistance near 1.1650

EUR/USD is losing ground for the second consecutive day in quite a disheartening start to the new trading week, always on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the US Dollar ahead of key US data releases and amid shrinking bets of Fed rate cuts.

GBP/USD remains slightly offered near 1.3160

GBP/USD is slipping again on Monday, extending Friday’s pullback and orbiting around 1.3160 as the Greenback stages a decent bounce. In the meantime, sentiment toward the Sterling remains cautious, with UK fiscal concerns still hanging over the market and keeping buyers on the defensive.

Gold declines below $4,050 on USD strength and hawkish Fed comments

Gold price extends the decline to around $4,030 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal edges lower as traders dialed back expectations of a US interest rate cut next month. Traders will closely monitor the US September Nonfarm Payrolls report later on Thursday. 

Strategy scoops the dip, buys $836 million worth of Bitcoin in largest purchase since July

Strategy has added 8,178 BTC to its holdings, purchasing the stack for roughly $835.6 million, according to a SEC filing on Monday. The buying activity, which took place between November 10 and 16, has pushed Strategy's holdings to 649,870 BTC, with an average purchase price of $74,433.

The week ahead: US economic data back in focus, and can Nvidia save the day for tech?

At the start of a new week, the market mood has calmed. US stock futures are pointing to small gains later on Monday, after a sharp sell off on Friday, European stock index futures are mostly flat at the start of the week.

Chainlink bulls defend key support, but low retail interest signals caution

Chainlink trades above $14.00 on Monday, as the cryptocurrency market generally recovers from last week’s volatility. LINK faces declining retail interest amid a weak derivatives market characterised by suppressed Open Interest.