|

Asia: PMIs pull back – TDS

Mitul Kotecha, senior emerging markets strategist at TD Securities, suggests that their composite GDP weighted Asia manufacturing PMI measure recorded a renewed slip into contraction in October while the average Asia PMI measure remained in contraction for a fifth straight month.

Key Quotes

“Our ex-China measures of PMI also remained in contraction. The outcome is disappointing given US-China trade deal hopes, but highlights the reality that a "Phase 1" deal may provide limited relief. The data also shows that Asia remains vulnerable to the worsening US manufacturing outlook. An eventual trade deal will likely boost the PMIs but the down draft on global manufacturing will not ease quickly.”

“The October manufacturing PMIs revealed declines in 5 out of 9 countries; China (-0.5), Taiwan (-0.2), Thailand (-0.6), Indonesia (-1.4), and India (-0.8), recording falls. In contrast Singapore (+0.1), South Korea (+0.4), Philippines (+0.3) and Malaysia (+1.4) gained.”

“PMIs are in contraction territory in 6 out of 9 countries, with Taiwan re-joining others recording below 50 readings. Philippines registered the strongest reading at 52.1 while Indonesia recorded the weakest at 47.7. Notably China revealed its weakest reading since February.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

More from Sandeep Kanihama
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests 1.1800, closes in on a fresh two-month high

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and trades near 1.1800. The broad-based US Dollar weakness and a potential policy divergence between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve keep the bullish bias intact heading into the holiday season.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 area, renews 11-week peak

GBP/USD extends its weekly rally and trades at its highest level since early October above 1.3500. The US Dollar remains under persistent bearish pressure heading into the Christmas break, while Pound traders largely brush off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England.

Gold approaches $4,500 as record-setting rally continues

Gold builds on Monday's impressive gains and advances toward $4,500, setting fresh record-highs along the way. Heightened geopolitical tensions, combined with the ongoing US Dollar (USD) selloff ahead of the Q3 GDP data, help XAU/USD preserve its bullish momentum.

US GDP expected to highlight steady growth in Q3

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the first preliminary estimate of the third-quarter Gross Domestic Product on Tuesday, at 13:30 GMT. Analysts expect the data to show annualized growth of 3.2%, following the 3.8% expansion in the previous quarter.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.