Gonçalo Moreira, CMT
Independent Analyst
Summary
A historical approach to trends, from Dow to Elliott, Gartley and Gann. None of these great contributors subscribed to the adage "The Trend is Your Friend". Moreover, their legacy releases us from that idea. Whose friend is the Trend? A Historical approach to trends Abstract: Buy low and sell high? Buy high and sell even higher? Trend is an abstraction, almost irrelevant... What is the legacy of the forefathers of TA? Charles Dow: Some of its basic tenets: - The primary trend is inviolate - The averages discount everything - The theory is not infallible - The averages confirm each other - Volume confirms the trend Some of its basic tenets: - The primary trend is inviolate - The averages discount everything - The theory is not infallible - The averages confirm each other - Volume confirms the trend Ralph Nelson Elliott Rules & Guidelines The sequence is constant across all timeframes Time as less Important that form Actionary movements are the most profitable The market spends more time in corrective mode than in impulsive mode Alternation and equality are pan of the market structure and Fibonacci... The sequence The ratios H.M. Gartiey 'The best investment opportunity" Occurs with a 1/3 to 2/3 reversal The "sweet spot' is one of low risk to high, reward relationship Much better that a H&Ss Offers strong reasons to stop and target placements Volume confirms the pattern Gann: Added time dimension Multiple confluences Finding turning points Conclusion: Trend Trading strategies are based on the assumption that markets do trend, but its purpose is to find key turning points. Two choices become very good at finding turning points or develop a method where entries are of second importance. Related content: Where Is The Dow Going? How To Use Gann Indicators Elliot Wave principle Author: Gonçalo MoreiraLatest Live Videos
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD consolidates below 0.7100 on broad US Dollar weakness
AUD/USD is consolidating below three-year highs of 0.7099 after a strong break above the 0.7000 psychological level for the first time since February 2023, supported by the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish monetary policy stance and broad-based US Dollar weakness.
USD/JPY drops toward 155.00 as focus shifts to US data
USD/JPY meets fresh supply and inches closer toward 155.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday. The Japanese Yen holds the upper hand over the US Dollar after Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi led the ruling Liberal Democratic Party to a historic landslide win and on intervention talks. Traders brace for key US economic data that could offer more clues on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Gold: Will US Retail Sales data propel it above $5,100?
Gold hovers below weekly highs of $5,087 early Tuesday, await US Retail Sales data. The US Dollar enters a downside consolidation phase amid persistent Japanese Yen strength and worsening labor market. Gold settled Monday above $5,000, now looks to take out $5,100 amid bullish daily RSI.
Top Crypto Gainers: World Liberty Financial, MemeCore and Quant gain momentum
World Liberty Financial, MemeCore, and Quant are leading gains over the last 24 hours as the broader cryptocurrency market stabilizes after last week’s correction. Still, the technical outlook for altcoins remains mixed due to prevailing downside pressure and vulnerable market sentiment.
The market is buying everything again but is it dancing on a borrowed floor
The market has a short memory and a fast trigger finger. Last week’s liquidation barely cooled before risk came roaring back, pushing the S&P toward record territory and reinstalling Big Tech as the engine of choice. This is not discovery. It is re exposure.
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, February 10:
Japanese stocks surged to record highs on Monday, as Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) basked in a historic election victory.