Sergey Kamenshikov, Ph.D.
IFC Markets
Summary
Who has expected that by 2014 the population of Russia will withdraw in panic their bank ruble deposits? Is it a psychological return of 2008? In current webinar all fundamental factors, influencing the activity decrease in banking sector of Russia will be considered. We shall analyze the dynamics of basic indicators: monetary policy of Central Bank, lending volumes, consumer deposits, real disposable income, inflation, etc. A connection between geopolitical risks, sanctions and expectations of population will be stated. An investment portfolio of Russian banking stocks and Russian ruble shall be developed on the basis of considered tendencies: Sberbank (SBER), VTB24 (VTBR) and RUR. First two actives are traded at London stock. The weights of stock-exchange portfolio are to be optimized on the basis of CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing) model with account of return/risk relation. An analysis of the portfolio historical prices will be conducted with use of PCI GeWorko technology.Latest Live Videos
Editors’ Picks
Gold extends rally, notches new record-high above $4,700
Gold builds on Monday's impressive gains and trades at a new record-high, well above $4,700 on Tuesday. Escalating geopolitical tensions and growing fears of deepening trade conflicts, alongside the broad-based selling pressure surrounding the US Dollar, fuel XAU/USD's rally.
GBP/USD ignores UK jobs data, advances toward 1.3500
GBP/USD regains its traction and rises toward 1.3500 on Tuesday. Investors ignore the data from the UK, which showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 5.1% in the three months to November, and continue to pay close attention to the EU-US conflict.
EUR/USD climbs to two-week high above 1.1700
EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades at its highest level in two weeks above 1.1700 on Tuesday after closing in positive territory on Monday. In the absence of high-tier data releases, investors will remain focused on headlines surrounding the EU-US dispute over Greenland.
Bitcoin extends decline as tensions around Greenland mount
Bitcoin price extends losses, trading below $91,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday amid escalating geopolitical tensions over Greenland. Investors are moving toward safe-haven assets, with Gold hitting fresh all-time highs, while BTC continues to nosedive.
Greenland tariffs: What happened, and how to position for the new Europe risk premium
Over the weekend, President Trump threatened a new round of tariffs on goods from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland and the UK, with reporting flagging 10% from February 1 and a possible step-up later.
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, January 20:
Safe-haven flows continue to dominate the action in financial markets on Tuesday as geopolitical tensions remain high. ZEW sentiment data from Germany will be published during the European trading hours, while investors will pay close attention to fresh developments surrounding the EU-US tensions over Greenland.