Andrew Pancholi
Market Timing Report
Back in November 2024, the American public were looking forward to a huge economic recovery based on the promises following the re-election of Donald Trump. People were poised for the Trump Bump. However, cycles were already telling a different story. The bull market was already nearly 15 years in from the major low following the 2007 global financial crisis. Important price targets were looming on the radar. Most importantly, little-known cycles were coming into play. Take a look at these charts.
Firstly, a key price target (one that we had been forewarning you about over several months) was rapidly approaching. This is shown in the first chart. Such an important target, for those of you who understand technical analysis, cannot be exceeded without a significant pullback, correction, or even crash. More importantly, take a look at this chart.
Below this monthly chart of the S&P 500 index, which goes back to 2008, you will see a series of histograms. When these histograms spike, we can expect changes in trend. They are based on market cycles interacting at a high level. If you take a close look, you will see how previous spikes have aligned with significant turning points.
The key benefit of these histogram spikes is that they are predictive—in other words, they are known in advance. As we approached December over the following weeks, we had a very large spike in front of us. This put us on alert for a major trend change.
At the bottom left, you can also see that such a spike identified the beginning of the bull market in 2009. Sentiment at that time was incredibly bearish, with the world having just lived through the global financial crisis.
Sentiment at the time of Trump’s re-election was incredibly bullish.
This bull market had effectively been running since 2009, following the end of the global financial crisis. With the exception of the short pullback in early 2020 (the one that tied in with a 90-year cycle to within six weeks), most people under the age of 35 have not witnessed a proper bear market. That includes some of our professional portfolio manager friends at some of the largest funds in the world.
The purpose of these histograms, and the entire timing system, is to get the odds on your side. This spike is putting us on alert. It does not necessarily forecast a crash. This enabled our followers to take advantage of what not only lay ahead, but also what is coming up next. We are now looking at key price targets, combined with cycles, to provide us with the next opportunity.
The Market Timing Report/Cycles Analysis Ltd is a research company. The information contained herein is for general education purposes and is not intended as specific advice or recommendations to any person or entity. Any reference to a transaction, trade, position, holding, security, market, or level is purely meant to educate readers about possible risks and opportunities in the marketplace and are not meant to imply that any person or entity should take any action whatsoever without first evaluating such action(s) in light of their own situation either on their own or through a professional advisor. If a person or entity does not believe they are qualified to make such decisions, they should seek professional advice. The prices listed are for reference only and are in no way intended to represent an actual trade, entry price or exit price conducted by The Market Timing Report/Cycles Analysis Ltd, portfolios managed by any entity affiliated with The Market Timing Report/Cycles Analysis Ltd or any principal or employee of The Market Timing Report/The Market Timing Report/Cycles Analysis Ltd . This information is not a substitute for professional advice of any nature, including tax, legal, and financial. While we believe the information contained herein to be accurate, all numbers should be verified by the reader through independent sources. Trading securities, options, futures, or any other security involves risk and can result in the immediate and substantial loss of the capital invested.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD keeps the red below 1.1700 amid US-EU trade tensions
EUR/USD remains in the red below 1.1700 in the European session on Monday. The Euro underperforms against the US Dollar, in the wake of rising risks of a US-EU trade war, especially after US President Trump threatened 30% tariffs on the EU from August 1. EU says its ready with retaliatory tariffs.
GBP/USD holds losses below 1.3500; vulnerable near multi-week low
GBP/USD enters a bearish consolidation phase in European trading on Monday, holding losses below the 1.3500 mark. Looming trade concerns dent risk sentiment and boost the haven dmeand for the US Dollar at the expense of the higher-yieding Pound Sterling.
USD/JPY eases from 147.50 as investors ponder the impact of Trump’s tariffs
The US Dollar maintains its bullish trend intact, but price action has stalled below 147.50. Investors might be starting to worry about the impact of Trump's tariffs on US economy. Later this week, US and Japan's inflation readings are likely to set the pair's near-term direction.
Editors’ Picks
Bitcoin sits at new record highs above $122,000
Bitcoin breaks above the key milestone level on Monday, setting a new all-time high above $122,000, with no signs of slowing. The technical outlook supports further gains as momentum indicators remain robust and price action firmly in price discovery mode, with the next potential target above $130,000.
EUR/USD keeps the red below 1.1700 amid US-EU trade tensions
EUR/USD remains in the red below 1.1700 in the European session on Monday. The Euro underperforms against the US Dollar, in the wake of rising risks of a US-EU trade war, especially after US President Trump threatened 30% tariffs on the EU from August 1. EU says its ready with retaliatory tariffs.
Gold price retains its positive bias amid a broadly weaker USD; lacks bullish conviction
Gold price trades with a mild positive for the second straight day on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through and remains below the $3,350 level through the early European session. Reports that US President Donald Trump was considering replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell raised concerns over the future independence of the US central bank.
Bitcoin Cash targets 52-week high as on-chain data indicate room for growth
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is trading in the green by 2% at press time on Thursday, following a 6.39% price surge on Wednesday. Rising in a parallel channel pattern, BCH shows signs of increasing bullish momentum and nearing the $500 psychological level.
Could Iran block the Strait of Hormuz? Why Oil is on edge after US strikes
As the Israel-Iran conflict reaches new heights, an old threat is coming back to haunt the markets: that of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow arm of the sea in the Persian Gulf, wedged between Iran to the north and the United Arab Emirates and Oman to the south, is much more than a simple sea passage.
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