Andrew Pancholi
Market Timing Report
Back in November 2024, the American public were looking forward to a huge economic recovery based on the promises following the re-election of Donald Trump. People were poised for the Trump Bump. However, cycles were already telling a different story. The bull market was already nearly 15 years in from the major low following the 2007 global financial crisis. Important price targets were looming on the radar. Most importantly, little-known cycles were coming into play. Take a look at these charts.
Firstly, a key price target (one that we had been forewarning you about over several months) was rapidly approaching. This is shown in the first chart. Such an important target, for those of you who understand technical analysis, cannot be exceeded without a significant pullback, correction, or even crash. More importantly, take a look at this chart.
Below this monthly chart of the S&P 500 index, which goes back to 2008, you will see a series of histograms. When these histograms spike, we can expect changes in trend. They are based on market cycles interacting at a high level. If you take a close look, you will see how previous spikes have aligned with significant turning points.
The key benefit of these histogram spikes is that they are predictive—in other words, they are known in advance. As we approached December over the following weeks, we had a very large spike in front of us. This put us on alert for a major trend change.
At the bottom left, you can also see that such a spike identified the beginning of the bull market in 2009. Sentiment at that time was incredibly bearish, with the world having just lived through the global financial crisis.
Sentiment at the time of Trump’s re-election was incredibly bullish.
This bull market had effectively been running since 2009, following the end of the global financial crisis. With the exception of the short pullback in early 2020 (the one that tied in with a 90-year cycle to within six weeks), most people under the age of 35 have not witnessed a proper bear market. That includes some of our professional portfolio manager friends at some of the largest funds in the world.
The purpose of these histograms, and the entire timing system, is to get the odds on your side. This spike is putting us on alert. It does not necessarily forecast a crash. This enabled our followers to take advantage of what not only lay ahead, but also what is coming up next. We are now looking at key price targets, combined with cycles, to provide us with the next opportunity.
The Market Timing Report/Cycles Analysis Ltd is a research company. The information contained herein is for general education purposes and is not intended as specific advice or recommendations to any person or entity. Any reference to a transaction, trade, position, holding, security, market, or level is purely meant to educate readers about possible risks and opportunities in the marketplace and are not meant to imply that any person or entity should take any action whatsoever without first evaluating such action(s) in light of their own situation either on their own or through a professional advisor. If a person or entity does not believe they are qualified to make such decisions, they should seek professional advice. The prices listed are for reference only and are in no way intended to represent an actual trade, entry price or exit price conducted by The Market Timing Report/Cycles Analysis Ltd, portfolios managed by any entity affiliated with The Market Timing Report/Cycles Analysis Ltd or any principal or employee of The Market Timing Report/The Market Timing Report/Cycles Analysis Ltd . This information is not a substitute for professional advice of any nature, including tax, legal, and financial. While we believe the information contained herein to be accurate, all numbers should be verified by the reader through independent sources. Trading securities, options, futures, or any other security involves risk and can result in the immediate and substantial loss of the capital invested.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD hovers around nine-day EMA above 1.1800
EUR/USD remains in the positive territory after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1820 during the Asian hours on Monday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 54 is edging higher, signaling improving momentum. RSI near mid-50s keeps momentum balanced. A sustained push above 60 would firm bullish control.
GBP/USD holds medium-term bullish bias above 1.3600
The GBP/USD pair trades on a softer note around 1.3605 during the early European session on Monday. Growing expectation of the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut weighs on the Pound Sterling against the Greenback.
USD/JPY drops back below 157.00 on Japan's verbal intervention
USD/JPY has come under moderate selling pressure below 157.00 in the Asian session on Monday. The Japanese Yen lost ground to near 157.70 following Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party's outright majority win in Sunday’s lower house election, opening the door to more fiscal stimulus by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. However, JPY buyers jumped back and dragged the pair southward on FX verbal intervention by Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama.
Editors’ Picks
USD/JPY drops back below 157.00 on Japan's verbal intervention
USD/JPY has come under moderate selling pressure below 157.00 in the Asian session on Monday. The Japanese Yen lost ground to near 157.70 following Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party's outright majority win in Sunday’s lower house election, opening the door to more fiscal stimulus by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. However, JPY buyers jumped back and dragged the pair southward on FX verbal intervention by Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama.
Gold eyes acceptance above $5,000, kicking off a big week
Gold is consolidating the latest uptick at around the $5,000 mark, with buyers gathering pace for a sustained uptrend as a critical week kicks off. All eyes remain on the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data from the United States due on Wednesday and Friday, respectively.
AUD/USD: Buyers eyes 0.7050 amid upbeat mood
AUD/USD builds on Friday's goodish rebound from sub-0.6900 levels and kicks off the new week on a positive note, with bulls awaiting a sustained move and acceptance above mid-0.7000s before placing fresh bets. The widening RBA-Fed divergence, along with the upbeat market mood, acts as a tailwind for the risk-sensitive Aussie amid some follow-through US Dollar selling for the second straight day.
Top Crypto Gainers: Aster, Decred, and Kaspa rise as selling pressure wanes
Altcoins such as Aster, Decred, and Kaspa are leading the broader cryptocurrency market recovery over the last 24 hours, as Bitcoin holds above $70,000 on Monday, up from the $60,000 dip on Thursday.
Weekly column: Saturn-Neptune and the end of the Dollar’s 15-year bull cycle
Tariffs are not only inflationary for a nation but also risk undermining the trust and credibility that go hand in hand with the responsibility of being the leading nation in the free world and controlling the world’s reserve currency.
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