When we trade, it is all too easy to get caught up in the moment. This is especially true for higher speed intraday traders. The problem is that when we trade like this, it is like running full speed with your head looking straight down. Sure, you can see the immediate obstacles and dangers, but you cannot be prepared for that large wall that lies directly in your path. If we trade “in the moment,” we will financially run head first into that wall and we know that is no fun.
Trading properly involves eliminating surprises and being prepared for what may come while you have your capital exposed. To do this, we must gain proper perspective to price action and anticipate upcoming events or price barriers that will change the direction. One of the first trading books I ever read was Dr. Elder, “Trading for a Living.” In that book, he explained the Triple Screen method for analysis. Throughout my trading career, I have used many different indicators, but this is one technique that I have never deviated from.
As the name suggests, the Triple Screen requires a trader to view prices and trend from three time frames. Having this perspective allows a trader to better identify opportunities and dangers in their trading. I use my own version of the Triple Screen. I first select my trading time frame. This will be where I plan all my trades including entry, target and stop prices. I always use the largest time frame that I feel comfortable trading on. This allows for larger profits with acceptable risk.
Once I have selected the trading time frame, I need to select one to gain proper perspective. In our courses at Online Trading Academy, we discuss the different modes that the markets operate in. If you are in an impulsive mode of the trend, it will typically end at the supply or demand of the next larger trend. If you are doing the Triple Screen, then you already have those levels identified. Dr. Elder believed that most trends were related by a factor of five.
Therefore, in choosing your perspective time frame, multiply your trading time frame by five to select the chart period. If trading on a 5-minute chart, use 25 min for perspective. If you trade on a daily chart, then a weekly is your natural perspective chart.
If this is a Triple Screen, then there must be a third chart. I use a smaller time frame I call my timing time frame to assist me in entering trades. Keeping with the trend relationships here, I like to use a period on this chart that is 1/5th that of my trading time frame. You must be careful as a trader that you only rely on this chart for timing entries since the more volatile nature of shorter time frames will tend to scare traders out of great trades from only a small pullback in price. Once you are in the trade, do not look at this shorter time frame again!
The short time frame is extremely helpful to get confirmation on entering your trades at supply and demand. As we approach our identified entry price, the smaller charts will usually show the reversal pressure first. They may even show a pattern on the chart or candles themselves well before you would see it on your trading time frame. This gives you the early jump on most other traders. Additionally, if you are wrong in your trade, entering earlier will mean that you are closer to your stop price and will lose less on bad trades.
Next week, I will detail how I use this system on an actual trade. But until then, I want you to maintain proper perspective and run with your head up! Trade safe and trade well!
Have a great day.
Neither Freedom Management Partners nor any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment advisers. I will mention that I consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. Because I consider the securities or positions appropriate to the discussion or for illustration purposes does not mean that I am telling you to trade the strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providing you with recommendations or personalized advice about your trading activities. The information we are providing is not tailored to any individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security or a suggestion that it is suitable for any specific person. Keep in mind that all trading involves a risk of loss, and this will always be the situation, regardless of whether we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk. Also, Freedom Management Partners’ personnel are not subject to trading restrictions. I and others at Freedom Management Partners could have a position in a security or initiate a position in a security at any time.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1900 as traders eye US data
EUR/USD eases to near 1.1900 in Tuesday's European trading hours, snapping the two-day winning streak. Markets turn cautious, lifting the haven demand for the US Dollar ahead of the release of key US economic data, including Retail Sales and ADP Employment Change 4-week average.
GBP/USD stays in the red below 1.3700 on renewed USD demand
GBP/USD trades on a weaker note below 1.3700 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair faces challenges due to renewed US Dollar demand, UK political risks and rising expectations of a March Bank of England rate cut. The immediate focus is now on the US Retail Sales data.
Gold sticks to modest losses above $5,000 ahead of US data
Gold sticks to modest intraday losses through the first half of the European session, though it holds comfortably above the $5,000 psychological mark and the daily swing low. The outcome of Japan's snap election on Sunday removes political uncertainty, which along with signs of easing tensions in the Middle East, remains supportive of the upbeat market mood. This turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the safe-haven precious metal.
Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals
Bitcoin Cash trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.
Follow the money, what USD/JPY in Tokyo is really telling you
Over the past two Tokyo sessions, this has not been a rate story. Not even close. Interest rate differentials have been spectators, not drivers. What has moved USD/JPY in local hours has been flow and flow alone.
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