Asia Mid-Session Market Update: Japan manufacturing PMI returns to expansion as cabinet officials resume jawboning against Yen strength
Top US session headlines
- (US) AUG EXISTING HOME SALES: 5.33M V 5.45ME
- (US) INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 252K V 261KE; CONTINUING CLAIMS: 2.11M V 2.14ME (lowest initial jobless claims since April)
- Reportedly no breakthrough reached at OPEC meeting in Vienna ahead of meeting in Algeria next week - press
- (US) TREASURY $11B 10-YEAR TIPS REOPENING DRAW 0.052%; BID TO COVER 2.59 V 2.27 PRIOR AND 2.38 AVG OVER THE LAST 4 (highest BTC since May 2014)
- YHOO: Confirms certain data from 500M user accounts was stolen, including hashed passwords, names and email addresses
Asia Notes/Observations
- Volatility is compressed for the 2nd day and US yield curve flattens as markets process FOMC ripple and settle on 50-50 chance of December hike.
- Nikkei returns from holiday with a down day amid catch-up to Yen bid on BOJ policy change
- Oil pares gains on diminished prospects of Algiers agreement for any supply shift
- NZD still under pressure in the extended wake of more dovish than expected RBNZ; other USD majors in narrow ranges
- Japan PMI surprises to the upside with first expansion in 7 months; Output up for 2nd month and Employment rises to 4-month highs
- Japan Fin Min acknowledges not much impact anticipated from latest BOJ move; Cabinet Sec Suga warns govt watching market moves and Yen direction following BOJ and FOMC
- North Korea Army spokesperson threatens to strike Guam and Seoul if US flies its B-1B bombers over Korea
US markets on close: Dow +0.5%, S&P500 +0.7%, Nasdaq +0.8%
- Best Sector in S&P500: Consumer Discretionary
- Worst Sector in S&P500: Basic Materials
- Biggest gainers: WY +5.7%, RIG +5.6%, DISCA +4.8%, FTR +4.8%, RCL +4.6%
- Biggest losers: EQR -2.5%, SWN -2.3%, LVLT -2.1%, KSS -1.9%, PXD -1.8%
VIX 12.0 (-1.3pts); Treasuries: 2-yr 0.77% (-1bp), 10-yr 1.63% (-4bp), 30-yr 2.35% (-4bp)
US movers afterhours
- MIFI +29.8%; Pact to Sell Mobile Broadband Unit
- BATS +28.5%; CBOE reportedly in discussions to acquire BATS Global - press
- IMPV +16.4%; Said to Draw Acquisition Interest
- AIR +4.8%; 1Q EPS Cont. Operations, Sales Beat Ests.
- FB -1.4%; Said to have overestimated video ads' viewing time by as much as 60-80% for 2 years - financial press
- ENPH -21.0%; Will Cut 11% of Workforce, Offer Stock
After extended session
- GM: Chevrolet to begin offering all-new Equinox SUV model in China - financial press
Equity Futures (23:30ET): S&P e-mini flat, Dax flat, FTSE100 -0.1%
FX/Commodities (23:30ET):
- EUR 1.1195-1.1210; JPY 100.70-101.25; AUD 0.7630-0.7650, NZD 0.7275-0.7315
- Gold -0.2% at 1,338; Oil -1.1% at $45.81/brl; Copper -0.2% at $2.19/lb
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings rise 6.5 tonnes to 950.9 tonnes; Highest since Sept 7th
Asian Equity Markets (23:30ET)
- Nikkei -0.1%, Hang Seng +0.1%, ASX +0.7%, Shanghai -0.1%, Kospi +0.1%
Key economic data:
- (JP) JAPAN SEPT PRELIMINARY PMI MANUFACTURING: 50.3 V 49.5 PRIOR; first expansion in 7 months
- (HK) Macau Aug visitor arrivals: 2.88M, +3.1% y/y
Speakers/Press
China:
- (CN) Former China vice housing minister Qiu Baoxing warns about risk of overheating property sector - Chinese press
- (CN) Moody's: China developers will have stable margins in 2016 v 2015
- (CN) China State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) official: No basis for long term Yuan depreciation - financial press
Japan:
- (JP) Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga: Will continue to watch market moves, fx moves are very sensitive
- (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: Reiterates Govt and BOJ need to work together on many issues; deflation is the main problem for the economy
- (JP) Japan Business Federation (Keidanren) chief Sakakibara met with China's Commerce Ministry, urging more transparent antitrust process - Nikkei
Asia movers
- China Unicom 762.HK +5.0%; Raised at Goldman Sachs
- Iluka Resources ILU.AU +4.8%; raised to buy from neutral at UBS
- Qube Holdings QUB.AU +4.6%; upgraded to outperform at Macquarie
- Warehouse Groupd WHS.NZ +1.4%: Reports FY16 adj net NZ$64.1M v NZ$57.1M y/y, Rev NZ$2.95B v NZ$2.78B y/y
- Gold miners trade lower on gold prices; Newcrest NCM.AU -2.8%, Evolution Mining EVN.AU -2.6%
- Wynn Macau -3.7%, MGM China -3.0% cut at Credit Suisse
- Dentsu 4324.JP -4.6%: Confirms issues with improper accounting in internet ads, apologizes to customers
- Charter Hall CHC.AU -6.6%; Halt lifted after Gandel Group block sale
- Whitehaven Coal WHC.AU -8.5%; Annual report, CEO pay hike
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Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD remains stuck in a familiar range above 0.6400
AUD/USD struggles for a firmdirection and remains confined in a multi-week-old trading range above 0.6400 early Wednesday. The RBA's dovish outlook and the domestic political turmoil remains a drag on the Aussie amid US-China spat over chips. However, a broadly weaker USD continue to support the pair.

USD/JPY bears retain control near two-week low, break below 144.00 awaited
USD/JPY languishes near a two-week low above 144.00 despite the disappointing release of Japan's trade balance data, as hawkish BoJ expectations continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the USD remains depressed amid Fed rate cut bets and a downgrade of the US government's credit rating, exerting additional pressure on the major.

Gold price looks to build on its recent strength beyond $3,300 mark
Gold price advances to over a one-week top in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a sustained move above the $3,300 mark before placing fresh bets. Moody's downgrade of US credit rating and Fed rate cut bets keep the US Dollar depressed near a two-week low. Further, persistent geopolitical uncertainty benefits the safe-haven Gold.

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH holds steady at $2,500 despite increasing selling pressure
Ethereum (ETH) held steady above $2,500 on Tuesday despite investors stepping up their selling pressure with high profit-taking and loss realization activity.

China April slowdown shows the impact of economic uncertainty
Trade war uncertainty is denting Chinese confidence, resulting in slower economic activity in April. Retail sales and fixed-asset investment both underperformed forecasts amid heightened caution. Yet the impact on manufacturing was less than feared.
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