TradeTheNews.com Staff
TradeTheNews.com
Asia Mid-Session Market Update: Japan manufacturing PMI returns to expansion as cabinet officials resume jawboning against Yen strength
Top US session headlines
- (US) AUG EXISTING HOME SALES: 5.33M V 5.45ME
- (US) INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 252K V 261KE; CONTINUING CLAIMS: 2.11M V 2.14ME (lowest initial jobless claims since April)
- Reportedly no breakthrough reached at OPEC meeting in Vienna ahead of meeting in Algeria next week - press
- (US) TREASURY $11B 10-YEAR TIPS REOPENING DRAW 0.052%; BID TO COVER 2.59 V 2.27 PRIOR AND 2.38 AVG OVER THE LAST 4 (highest BTC since May 2014)
- YHOO: Confirms certain data from 500M user accounts was stolen, including hashed passwords, names and email addresses
Asia Notes/Observations
- Volatility is compressed for the 2nd day and US yield curve flattens as markets process FOMC ripple and settle on 50-50 chance of December hike.
- Nikkei returns from holiday with a down day amid catch-up to Yen bid on BOJ policy change
- Oil pares gains on diminished prospects of Algiers agreement for any supply shift
- NZD still under pressure in the extended wake of more dovish than expected RBNZ; other USD majors in narrow ranges
- Japan PMI surprises to the upside with first expansion in 7 months; Output up for 2nd month and Employment rises to 4-month highs
- Japan Fin Min acknowledges not much impact anticipated from latest BOJ move; Cabinet Sec Suga warns govt watching market moves and Yen direction following BOJ and FOMC
- North Korea Army spokesperson threatens to strike Guam and Seoul if US flies its B-1B bombers over Korea
US markets on close: Dow +0.5%, S&P500 +0.7%, Nasdaq +0.8%
- Best Sector in S&P500: Consumer Discretionary
- Worst Sector in S&P500: Basic Materials
- Biggest gainers: WY +5.7%, RIG +5.6%, DISCA +4.8%, FTR +4.8%, RCL +4.6%
- Biggest losers: EQR -2.5%, SWN -2.3%, LVLT -2.1%, KSS -1.9%, PXD -1.8%
VIX 12.0 (-1.3pts); Treasuries: 2-yr 0.77% (-1bp), 10-yr 1.63% (-4bp), 30-yr 2.35% (-4bp)
US movers afterhours
- MIFI +29.8%; Pact to Sell Mobile Broadband Unit
- BATS +28.5%; CBOE reportedly in discussions to acquire BATS Global - press
- IMPV +16.4%; Said to Draw Acquisition Interest
- AIR +4.8%; 1Q EPS Cont. Operations, Sales Beat Ests.
- FB -1.4%; Said to have overestimated video ads' viewing time by as much as 60-80% for 2 years - financial press
- ENPH -21.0%; Will Cut 11% of Workforce, Offer Stock
After extended session
- GM: Chevrolet to begin offering all-new Equinox SUV model in China - financial press
Equity Futures (23:30ET): S&P e-mini flat, Dax flat, FTSE100 -0.1%
FX/Commodities (23:30ET):
- EUR 1.1195-1.1210; JPY 100.70-101.25; AUD 0.7630-0.7650, NZD 0.7275-0.7315
- Gold -0.2% at 1,338; Oil -1.1% at $45.81/brl; Copper -0.2% at $2.19/lb
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings rise 6.5 tonnes to 950.9 tonnes; Highest since Sept 7th
Asian Equity Markets (23:30ET)
- Nikkei -0.1%, Hang Seng +0.1%, ASX +0.7%, Shanghai -0.1%, Kospi +0.1%
Key economic data:
- (JP) JAPAN SEPT PRELIMINARY PMI MANUFACTURING: 50.3 V 49.5 PRIOR; first expansion in 7 months
- (HK) Macau Aug visitor arrivals: 2.88M, +3.1% y/y
Speakers/Press
China:
- (CN) Former China vice housing minister Qiu Baoxing warns about risk of overheating property sector - Chinese press
- (CN) Moody's: China developers will have stable margins in 2016 v 2015
- (CN) China State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) official: No basis for long term Yuan depreciation - financial press
Japan:
- (JP) Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga: Will continue to watch market moves, fx moves are very sensitive
- (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: Reiterates Govt and BOJ need to work together on many issues; deflation is the main problem for the economy
- (JP) Japan Business Federation (Keidanren) chief Sakakibara met with China's Commerce Ministry, urging more transparent antitrust process - Nikkei
Asia movers
- China Unicom 762.HK +5.0%; Raised at Goldman Sachs
- Iluka Resources ILU.AU +4.8%; raised to buy from neutral at UBS
- Qube Holdings QUB.AU +4.6%; upgraded to outperform at Macquarie
- Warehouse Groupd WHS.NZ +1.4%: Reports FY16 adj net NZ$64.1M v NZ$57.1M y/y, Rev NZ$2.95B v NZ$2.78B y/y
- Gold miners trade lower on gold prices; Newcrest NCM.AU -2.8%, Evolution Mining EVN.AU -2.6%
- Wynn Macau -3.7%, MGM China -3.0% cut at Credit Suisse
- Dentsu 4324.JP -4.6%: Confirms issues with improper accounting in internet ads, apologizes to customers
- Charter Hall CHC.AU -6.6%; Halt lifted after Gandel Group block sale
- Whitehaven Coal WHC.AU -8.5%; Annual report, CEO pay hike
All information provided by Trade The News (a product of Trade The News, Inc. "referred to as TTN hereafter") is for informational purposes only. Information provided is not meant as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to Buy or Sell securities. Although information is taken from sources deemed reliable, no guarantees or assurances can be made to the accuracy of any information provided. 1. Information can be inaccurate and/or incomplete 2. Information can be mistakenly re-released or be delayed, 3. Information may be incorrect, misread, misinterpreted or misunderstood 4. Human error is a business risk you are willing to assume 5. Technology can crash or be interrupted without notice 6. Trading decisions are the responsibility of traders, not those providing additional information. Trade The News is not liable (financial and/or non-financial) for any losses that may arise from any information provided by TTN. Trading securities involves a high degree of risk, and financial losses can and do occur on a regular basis and are part of the risk of trading and investing.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630
EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.
GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320
GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.
Japanese Yen refreshes three-week high vs USD; seems poised to appreciate further
The Japanese Yen retains bullish bias as BoJ rate hike bets offset dismal Household Spending data. Dovish Fed expectations fail to assist the USD in attracting buyers and keep a lid on the USD/JPY pair. Traders keenly await the US PCE Price Index for Fed rate-cut cues and a fresh directional impetus.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630
EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.
GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320
GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.
Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200
Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut
Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.
Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides
Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.
RECOMMENDED LESSONS
Making money in forex is easy if you know how the bankers trade!
I’m often mystified in my educational forex articles why so many traders struggle to make consistent money out of forex trading. The answer has more to do with what they don’t know than what they do know. After working in investment banks for 20 years many of which were as a Chief trader its second knowledge how to extract cash out of the market.
5 Forex News Events You Need To Know
In the fast moving world of currency markets where huge moves can seemingly come from nowhere, it is extremely important for new traders to learn about the various economic indicators and forex news events and releases that shape the markets. Indeed, quickly getting a handle on which data to look out for, what it means, and how to trade it can see new traders quickly become far more profitable and sets up the road to long term success.
Top 10 Chart Patterns Every Trader Should Know
Chart patterns are one of the most effective trading tools for a trader. They are pure price-action, and form on the basis of underlying buying and selling pressure. Chart patterns have a proven track-record, and traders use them to identify continuation or reversal signals, to open positions and identify price targets.
7 Ways to Avoid Forex Scams
The forex industry is recently seeing more and more scams. Here are 7 ways to avoid losing your money in such scams: Forex scams are becoming frequent. Michael Greenberg reports on luxurious expenses, including a submarine bought from the money taken from forex traders. Here’s another report of a forex fraud. So, how can we avoid falling in such forex scams?
What Are the 10 Fatal Mistakes Traders Make
Trading is exciting. Trading is hard. Trading is extremely hard. Some say that it takes more than 10,000 hours to master. Others believe that trading is the way to quick riches. They might be both wrong. What is important to know that no matter how experienced you are, mistakes will be part of the trading process.
The challenge: Timing the market and trader psychology
Successful trading often comes down to timing – entering and exiting trades at the right moments. Yet timing the market is notoriously difficult, largely because human psychology can derail even the best plans. Two powerful emotions in particular – fear and greed – tend to drive trading decisions off course.