You want to be right, right?
And why is that?
It's a chicken and egg thing...
At an unconscious level, your human psyche is naturally tilted towards loss aversion. But it's what happens next...
When you first enter the world of trading you're at your most inexperienced. Correct?
So it's precisely when your trading ear tunes into what sounds good at first impression rather than what actually works or makes sense. Agree?
Bombarded with hundreds of trading systems and services promoting incredibly high winning percentages — your new logic says the best way to succeed as a trader is to be right (i.e. book winners) as often as humanly possible.
But this thinking is a trick and a trap — an expensive indulgence of your primal wiring.
Hooked, line and sinker — you now associate trading with win rates that, quite frankly, are not achieved by discretionary traders.
My best trader makes money only 63 percent of the time. Most traders make money only in the 50 to 55 percent range.
Steve Cohen — SAC Capital
(Stock Market Wizards)
So is there a way you can be right always? — You'll see in a minute.
But first: what are the following you know all too well?
Failing to initiate a trade when you should have.
Getting stopped out, only to see the market move as intended without you.
Holding for a larger profit target, only to give back gains or, worse, incur a loss.
Exiting too early as the market continues moving without you.
Neglecting to add to a winning trade, missing out on substantial rewards.
Waiting indefinitely for trades to move out of the red.
Your account goes up but goes down by more.
Answer?
They're the outcomes of the wrong decision.
You see:
A win is the wrong kind of right.
The only kind of right that matters is the right decision.
How so?
When you make the right trading decisions, you succeed at trading - even when you win half the time. Want proof?
Show you in a minute. But first...
Do you think it's possible to make the right decision most of the time?
The answer is absolutely.
Sounds like a huge promise. Right?
Well, it's not a promise.
It's just skill.
Look at the actual trading below. (the buys and sells).
And to prove it's skill
Now...
Imagine how you'd feel if everything you did on the trading field was mostly the right decision (none of us are perfect so we make mistakes).
Isn't that when you no longer simply identify as someone who makes trades but instead identify as someone who's 'a trader'? Agree?
So when you meet someone new
And they ask. "What do you do?"
You say. "I'm a trader"
Isn't that the whole reason you started making trades to start with? So you can reach the next step to say, "I'm a trader". Correct?
And then when that someone asks you "How do you do it"
You say:
"It's skill. Skill to make the right decisions. And keep my mistakes to a minimum"
And the good news?
Skill in making the right trading decisions can be transferred. So you can partner with someone who can impart this skill to you.
Forex and derivatives trading is a highly competitive and often extremely fast-paced environment. It only rewards individuals who attain the required level of skill and expertise to compete. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is a substantial risk of loss to unskilled and inexperienced players. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade any such leveraged products you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin, and seek advice from an independent
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD hangs near one-week low; downside seems limited
AUD/USD trades with a negative bias for the fifth straight day on Wednesday, just above a one-week low touched the previous day, as a weaker risk tone and China's economic woes undermine the Aussie. However, the RBA's hawkish stance could limit deeper losses. Moreover, bets for more rate cuts by the Fed in 2026 keep a lid on the attempted US Dollar recovery, warranting some caution for bearish traders ahead of US CPI on Thursday.
USD/JPY dips as bearish pressure persists despite ETF growth
Ripple is finding footing above $1.90 at the time of writing on Tuesday after a bearish wave swept across the broader cryptocurrency market, building on persistent negative sentiment.
Gold extends the range play around $4,300
Gold edges higher during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined in a multi-day-old trading range. Dovish Fed-inspired bearish sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, along with the risk-off mood, acts as a tailwind for the safe-haven bullion. However, hopes for a Russia-Ukraine peace deal hold back the XAU/USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Traders also seem reluctant ahead of the crucial US consumer inflation figures on Thursday.
XRP dips as bearish pressure persists despite ETF growth
Ripple is finding footing above $1.90 at the time of writing on Tuesday after a bearish wave swept across the broader cryptocurrency market, building on persistent negative sentiment.
Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again
Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.
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