|

What would happen if Terra's LUNA price dips below $2

  • Terra's LUNA price coils in a triangular fashion.
  • LUNA price congestion could resolve with a 50% price decline.
  • Invalidation of the bearish thesis is a breach above $2.78

Terra's LUNA price shows concerning signals, with bears targeting $1.00. Still, being an early seller is ill-advised.

Terra's LUNA price targets $1.00

Terra's LUNA price sideways action is finally starting to make sense. Since the cataclysmic sell-off, the range-bound consolidation has produced both diminishing returns and losses between each directional shift. On July 6, 2022, the technicals display a coiling triangle pattern which justifies the lackluster price action investors of the LUNA price have been experiencing.

LUNA price currently trades at $2.17. The Relative Strength Index confounds the idea of a triangle in place as bearish and bullish divergences are witnessed on the indicator around pivotal levels. The Volume Profile suggests being an early bear could be problematic as there is a thin bearish influence around the current $2.20 resistance level.

tm/7/6/22

LUNA2/USD 4-Hour Chart

A justified bearish entry will be to wait for a definitive candle close below the $2.02. Traders can join the bears if the breach occurs while keeping an invalidation level at $2.78. The triangle's strength could send LUNA price into a decline targeting $1.00. 

Invalidation of the bearish thesis is a definitive candle close above $2.78. If this bullish event occurs, a 50-60% rally could occur in favor of the bulls targeting $4.10. 

Author

Tony M.

Tony M.

FXStreet Contributor

Tony Montpeirous began investing in cryptocurrencies in 2017. His trading style incorporates Elliot Wave, Auction Market Theory, Fibonacci and price action as the cornerstone of his technical analysis.

More from Tony M.
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.