|

SafeMoon bearish continuation pattern hints at 60% drop

  • SafeMoon price consolidation continues for its fifth straight day. 
  • Failure to return to above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.0000040 will likely trigger a sell-off. 
  • Extreme volatility is expected. 
SafeMoon price is experiencing a rare development on its daily candlesticks chart. The consolidation has lasted for five days - but every day since November 10th has been an inside bar, meaning the trading ranges have consistently developed lower highs and higher lows for five straight days. As a result, a breakout lower would likely trigger some powerful selling.

SafeMoon price is likely to remain bearish, but the long side should not be ignored

SafeMoon price has two hypothetical trade entries available – one bullish and one bearish. On the bullish side of the trade, the hypothetical entry would be a buy stop order at $0.0000040, a stop loss at $0.0000034, and a profit target at $0.0000065. Therefore, the entry would confirm a bear trap and return SafeMoon to bullish Ichimoku trading conditions.
 
SafeMoon/USDT Daily Ichimoku Chart
 
The hypothetical long setup is invalidated if SafeMoon price moves below $0.0000034 before hitting the buy stop entry-level. 
 
On the short side of the market, the theoretical entry is a sell stop order at $0.0000034, a stop loss at $0.0000040, and a profit target at $0.0000015. The short entry, if triggered, would be a breakout below the bearish pennant. Expect a large number of sell orders to trigger.
 
Downside risks may likely be limited to Senkou Span B – the most substantial level of support within the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo system. Consequently, SafeMoon price could see its downside risk limited to between $0.0000018 and $0.0000027 because Senkou Span B spikes up considerably between November 18th and November 26th.
 
SafeMoon/USDT Daily Ichimoku Chart
 
The theoretical short idea is invalidated if SafeMoon price moves to $0.0000040 before the entry is triggered. 
 

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend sell-off amid negative funding rates 

Bitcoin is down 15% in February and looks poised to extend its losses toward the yearly low of $60,000. Ethereum and Ripple are following in Bitcoin's footsteps, weighed down by a weak derivatives market. 

Hyperliquid tests key support as sell-side pressure intensifies

Hyerliquid (HYPE) drops to its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $28.85 at the time of writing on Wednesday, extending a decline of roughly 10% so far this week. 

Stellar Price Forecast: XLM risks revisiting $0.136 as sell-off continues

Stellar is trading below $0.160 at the time of writing on Wednesday, extending its correction for the fifth consecutive day. The bearish price action is further supported by rising short bets and declining Open Interest in the derivatives market. 

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.