Jonathan Morgan
Independent Analyst
- Decentraland price at an inflection point.
- MANA completed a 50% logarithmic retracement, fulfilling conditions for a new floor to target new highs.
- $2.50 is the critical resistance zone to break above to initiate a new bull run.
Decentraland price has rallied strongly since it hit three-month lows at $1.70. Since then, MANA has spiked nearly 39% off the lows to hit $2.25.
Decentraland faced strong Ichimoku and Fibonacci resistance at $2.50
Decentraland bulls have been thirsty to repeat the rally it experienced in October 2021. There is no reason why MANA can’t repeat that success, especially given the growth in interest and investment into the metaverse and gaming-token space. However, significant hurdles exist and will be tested before Decentraland can return to its highs.
The first hurdle that Decentraland price must defeat is a confluence zone of resistance between the Tenkan-Sen at $2.50 and the shared $2.58 price level with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and Kijun-Sen. The likelihood of MANA pushing through the $2.58 zone decreases significantly if the Composite Index oscillator creates a high above the January 16 high (in the oscillator) – hidden bearish divergence. But if MANA can create a close above the January 16 close, then the hidden bearish divergence will be avoided.
MANA/USDT Daily Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Chart
Downside risks remain strong but should be limited to the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $2.00. Any further bullish outlook is invalidated if a daily or weekly close is below $2.00. MANA would likely push towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement in that scenario at $1.55.
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