|

BTC Price Prediction: Bitcoin price set to swing 15% by year-end

  • Bitcoin price resides near $17,000, off the lows of 2022.
  • BTC only needs to take out one hurdle to book 15% gains for the last week of the year.
  • This 52nd week could be the turning point for 2023.

Bitcoin (BTC) price is set to trade on the thinnest liquidity for the year as markets will be mostly closed for this 52nd week of the year. With this comes a unique chance for bulls to seize control of the price action. As liquidity is thin, bulls can rally and cover large chunks of price action in just a few moments, as bears will be less resistant.

Bitcoin price to bounce higher

Bitcoin price is set to jump as markets are on complete hiatus between Christmas and New Year. As thin liquidity will be the crucial element of market conditions that traders need to be aware of, bulls got to seize this opportunity to pump the price action higher, as there will be no bears in sight. This means a sharp rally could unfold this last trading week of the year.

BTC is moving away from $16,020 and faces just one important resistance element to the upside. The 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) comes to around $17,300. If bulls can keep their act together and refrain from taking profit at that level, the rally could stretch toward $19,036 by the end of this week or near New Year’s eve.

BTC/USD weekly chart

BTC/USD weekly chart

Risk to the downside comes twofold: The last economic data points out of the US the previous week confirmed that the Fed needs to do more rate hikes. Markets have underestimated this element, which could further weigh on market sentiment in favor of risk-off. Add to that the thin liquidity, and price action could tank back to $16,000.

Author

Filip Lagaart

Filip Lagaart is a former sales/trader with over 15 years of financial markets expertise under its belt.

More from Filip Lagaart
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Chainlink risks further losses in early 2026 despite the ecosystem growth

Chainlink (LINK) is down 2% at press time on Tuesday, adding to a nearly 5% decline in December so far. The oracle token risks a negative close for the fourth straight month, potentially signaling a bearish start to 2026. 

Bitcoin retreats as $90,000 rejection, ETF outflows weigh on sentiment

Bitcoin continues to trade lower on Tuesday after failing to break the key $90,000 resistance level the previous day. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $142.90 on Monday, while Strategy Inc. boosts its cash reserves to $2.19 billion.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.