Bitcoin price nowhere near a market top based on extremely accurate on-chain metric


  • Bitcoin liquidity supply is depleting from exchanges at a tremendous rate, significantly reducing selling pressure.
  • The BTC leaving the exchanges is falling into the hands of long-term investors, a bullish signal.

Bitcoin is stuck in consolidation mode, but investor sentiment remains positive. As reported earlier, Grayscale Investments bought the recent dip adding over 8,000 BTC to its holdings.

Additionally, the Liquid Supply Change, an on-chain metric by Glassnode, suggests that massive amounts of BTC are leaving the exchanges into wallets considered HODLers, which is an incredibly bullish signal.

Bitcoin supply depletion affirms the uptrend

Bitcoin entities (individuals or institutions buying BTC) have been classified into two distinct categories by Glassnode, including highly-liquid, liquid and illiquid. The analysis platform has found out that a relationship exists between Bitcoin liquidity and the BTC market.

Bitcoin liquidity

A quantified Bitcoin’s supply helps in understanding market behavior. For instance, if more BTC is illiquid, it suggests that the market is in a supply crisis. Therefore, selling pressure is extremely low, mainly because investor holding sentiment is high and the market is potentially bullish.

Long-term holders of Bitcoin mostly keep their cons in cold wallets. In other words, their BTC has been removed from the circulating supply and therefore it is unavailable for trading. Meanwhile, as Bitcoin rockets to new record highs, the supply has witnessed the biggest liquidity depletion in years.

Bitcoin liquidity

Bitcoin Liquidity Supply change

The coins depart from the exchanges in large numbers but, again, ending up in the HODLers’ strong hands. Over the last 30 days, approximately 270,000 BTC has moved into the illiquid entities. As long as the liquid supply remains negative, this on-chain metric suggests that Bitcoin's bull cycle will continue.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is in consolidation slightly above $34,000. Support at this level must hold to avoid declines that are likely to extend to $32,000 (next support target). If overhead pressure soars, Bitcoin could revisit $30,000 (a former support area).

On the flip side, the uptrend to $40,000 will be validated if Bitcoin takes back the lost ground above $36,000. An increase of this magnitude will call for more buy orders due to the fear of missing out. Gains above $38,000 and $40,000 will occur as a result of intensifying the FOMO tailwind.


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Join Telegram

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Ethereum dips slightly amid Renzo depeg, BlackRock spot ETH ETF amendment

Ethereum dips slightly amid Renzo depeg, BlackRock spot ETH ETF amendment

Ethereum (ETH) suffered a brief decline on Wednesday afternoon despite increased accumulation from whales. This follows Ethereum restaking protocol Renzo restaked ETH (ezETH) crashing from its 1:1 peg with ETH and increased activities surrounding spot Ethereum ETFs.

More Ethereum News

Injective price weakness persists despite over 5.9 million INJ tokens burned

Injective price weakness persists despite over 5.9 million INJ tokens burned

Injective (INJ) price is trading with a bearish bias, stuck in the lower section of the market range. The bearish outlook abounds despite the network's deflationary efforts to pump the price. Coupled with broader market gloom, INJ token’s doomed days may not be over yet.

More Injective News

US intensifies battle against crypto privacy protocols following crackdown on Samourai Wallet

US intensifies battle against crypto privacy protocols following crackdown on Samourai Wallet

CEO Keonne Rodriguez and CTO William Lonergan of Samourai Wallet were arrested by the US Department of Justice (DoJ) on Wednesday and charged with $100 million in money laundering on a count and illegal money transmitting on another count. This move could see privacy-focused cryptocurrencies take a dip.

More Cryptocurrencies News

Near Protocol Price Prediction: NEAR fulfills targets but a 10% correction may be on the horizon

Near Protocol Price Prediction: NEAR fulfills targets but a 10% correction may be on the horizon

Near Protocol price has completed a 55% mean reversal from the bottom of the market range at $4.27. Amid growing bearish activity, NEAR could drop 10% to the $6.00 psychological level before a potential recovery. A break and close above $7.95 would invalidate the downleg thesis.

More Near Protocol News

Bitcoin: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin (BTC) price briefly slipped below the $60,000 level for the last three days, attracting buyers in this area as the fourth BTC halving is due in a few hours. Is the halving priced in for Bitcoin? Or will the pioneer crypto note more gains in the coming days? 

Read full analysis

BTC

ETH

XRP