|

Bitcoin Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical overview

  • Objective: Counter-Trend Movement

  • Mode: Corrective

  • Pattern: Zigzag

  • Current position: Wave C

  • Larger wave context: Part of Wave ((II))

  • Invalidation level: —

BTCUSD trading strategy – Daily chart perspective:

Bitcoin is currently completing a corrective zigzag pattern. The price is progressing in wave (c), targeting approximately $62,075, assuming Wave C mirrors Wave A in depth. Earlier, Wave (a) reached ~$76,510, followed by a bounce in Wave (b) that stalled below resistance near ~$81,388. This suggests bearish continuation in Wave (c) with potential support at the $62K zone.

Trading strategy:

  • Swing trading opportunity:

    • The $62K region may provide a medium to long-term accumulation opportunity. However, traders should wait until the wave structure confirms its completion.

  • Risk Management:

    • The wave count will be considered invalid if Bitcoin climbs above $88,973.

BTCUSD Elliott Wave Technical Overview

  • Objective: Counter-Trend Movement

  • Mode: Corrective

  • Pattern: Zigzag

  • Current Position: Wave C

  • Larger wave context: Part of Wave ((II))

  • Invalidation level: —

BTCUSD trading strategy – H4 chart perspective:

Zooming in, Bitcoin remains within a corrective phase. The coin is tracking wave (c) downward, aligned with the daily projection of $62,075. This level becomes a focal point if Wave C matches the depth of Wave A. The upward movement in Wave (b) lacked strength to overcome resistance at ~$81,388, reaffirming downward bias for the time being.

Trading strategy:

  • Swing trading opportunity:

    • The area around $62K may present an accumulation zone for medium to long-term positions. Await completion of wave patterns before acting.

  • Risk management:

    • The wave structure will be invalidated upon a breakout above $88,973.

Analyst: Kittiampon Somboonsod, CEWA.

BTC/USD Elliott Wave technical overview [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI holds key support as momentum coils

Pi Network (PI) trades close to $0.2100 at press time on Friday, stabilizing after a two-day decline of nearly 2%. The PI token's trading volume steadily declines, while a surge in social dominance suggests a potential spike in retail interest.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Early-2026 rally falters as BTC investors await key catalyst

Bitcoin is trading lower toward $90,000 on Friday after encountering rejection at a key resistance zone. The price pullback in BTC is supported by fading institutional demand, as spot Exchange Traded Funds have recorded net outflows so far this week. 

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Early-2026 rally falters as BTC investors await key catalyst

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading lower toward $90,000 on Friday after encountering rejection at a key resistance zone. The price pullback in BTC is supported by fading institutional demand, as spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have recorded net outflows so far this week.